What I found fascinating is two of the best races of his career were races where he went out slow by his own standards. Would have run better had he done that more often?
the problem was not going out fast, but going out ridiculously fast in lot of races, often not his fault but because of inept pacer
his '85 record off suggested 51.3/51.3 i estimate should be corrected to 2s +ve splits using
Correction = ( 2nd lap - 1st lap - 2 ) * (1/3)
-> ( 51.3 - 51.3 - 2 ) * (1/3) = 0.67s correction
-> 1'42.60 - 0.67 =
i reckon his AR would have been sub-1'42 off 2s +ve splits
( you also have to factor in that although the run isn't on youtube, but probably exists as koblenz was quite serious meet in those days, where ovett had run a 1500wr in '80, that with split of 51.3 at bell, he invariably had to do some wide running on 1 or more bends as no way was he leading that race at bell with 51.3 ( Cruz actually won that day in 1'42.49 ) & probably had to run around some guys to get to 2nd
all this solidifies a time then of likely 1'41-mid/high )
a comparable run was the 1'42.65 in zurich in '88https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rm_O53BP0dg
utterly ridiculous pacing !!!
there is 0.1s clock error & Gray thru 200 in 24.1 actual
( the pacer thru in nonsense 23.1 !!!
this is actually 0.1s slower than Wilson would split thru 200 in his 1'41.24 years later !!! )
the formula i use to correct for abnormal 200 splits for ideal clocking, where T is actual finish time & S the recorded 200 split is :
Correction = ( 3T - 12S - 9 ) * ( 1/16 )
-> ( 3*102.65 - 12*24.1 - 9 ) * ( 1/16 ) = 0.61s correction
-> 1'42.65 - 0.61 =
now, he got no effective drafting in this run as pacer too far ahead, so ideal run with ideal pacing & drafting to bell which is 200m at 0.70/lap -> 0.35s owed
-> 1'42.04 - 0.35 =
it's likely in this zurich run, if he'd had the perfect race, he had shot of being nearly 1s faster & breaking the WR...