VO2maximum wrote:
nothing gained wrote:Except 30m sprint time and vertical leap distance - i.e. measures of explosive power not aerobic capacity - predict 5K times way better than VO2max does.
That's plain goofy...do you have any scientific references to support that? In all my years of research I've never, ever, heard of explosive sprint power & vertical leap ability being predictors of maximum aerobic capicity for the 5k. I really think someone is giving you the business. 😉
"Predict 5K time" (note I said predict 5K time, not predict VO2max) means strength of correlation. Correlation doesn't imply causation, but there are links. On the correlation, VO2max correlates quite poorly with race times (within groups of roughly similar runners. Across the spectrum from coach potato to elite of course it correlates better). Sprint and vertical leap performance however correlate better (much better) with distance performance.
Is it a causal relationship though? Will sprint/plyometric/explosive training - done in order to improve sprint/leap/etc. performance - by itself improve, i.e. "cause", your endurance performance to improve? Yes, it will - there is a causal link. And yes, football & basketball players will do better in distance events than other people with the same VO2max for this reason. They won't necessarily beat you, because you've got other advantages from your distance-speciific training, but they've already got quite a lot of what's needed for good distance running.
vvO2max (minimum velocity that elicits VO2max) is the best predictor (something like 95% correlation with race times) as it combines VO2max with running economy. You could have huge VO2max but shit running form/economy and max out at a slow speed (i.e. big engine but inefficient), or vice versa. Speed at lactate threshold also predicts race times well for similar reasons based on economy.
So economy matters and is a good predictor of performance, and it's best trained at high speed, goal pace or faster e.g. sprint reps and vvO2max. That's one of the links.
I've got most of this from Owen Anderson's Running Science, and I'm summarising it badly here - there's a ton of stuff in the book. He quotes hundreds of studies - just one for example:
Sinnett, A. et al. The relationship between field tests of
anaerobic power and 10-km run performance. Journal of
Strength & Conditioning Research, Vol. 15 (4), pp. 405-412
2001.
He quotes the regression equation from that study that relates vertical jump and 300m performance to 10K time. This equation explains 78% of the variation in 10K times, just based on those two metrics (i.e. the regular correlation coefficient is really high - 88% (sqrt(78%)).
10K time = 57.22 – (5.15 × plyometric-leap distance in meters) +
(0.27 × 300-m time in seconds)