Whoops. Thanks. Brain doesn't bend that way in the AM. I think that makes this number 44 Troll.
Whoops. Thanks. Brain doesn't bend that way in the AM. I think that makes this number 44 Troll.
Flagpole wrote:
Fat hurts wrote:
And they lowered president antichrist to 10%. Looking better, but 10% still isn't low enough.
Agreed...only 0% possible for Trump is acceptable.
Most days on 538, they've started at 89% and it's fallen to 88% by lunch Eastern.
Maybe 89% will stick today.
poking through 538 today...the best news is AZ. It's up to 70% for Joe. The highest yet in that state.
Which is great news because it gives Joe a chance if Trump wins PA.
Enten: Arizona is a massive complication in Trump's re-election bid. If Biden carries the state (and he is ahead and there is no real history of the polls in AZ underestimating GOP), it likely means Trump needs to win 2 of MI, PA, & WI. Not just 1.
agip wrote:
poking through 538 today...the best news is AZ. It's up to 70% for Joe. The highest yet in that state.
Which is great news because it gives Joe a chance if Trump wins PA.
Enten: Arizona is a massive complication in Trump's re-election bid. If Biden carries the state (and he is ahead and there is no real history of the polls in AZ underestimating GOP), it likely means Trump needs to win 2 of MI, PA, & WI. Not just 1.
Others in your post, all for Biden:
MI - 94%
WI - 93%
PA - 86%
Just sayin'.
The senior senator of tiny South Carolina is very anti-Trump. Good on him. He has been consistent on this, right?
https://twitter.com/LindseyGrahamSC/status/784764919598182401?s=20
Trollminator wrote:
https://twitter.com/brentterhune/status/1321696565631877120?s=21
This is precious. (a a parody of Trump supporters, I believe)
It explains my question of why they didn't scan the documents.
Email is what got Hillary in trouble.
You need snail mail with a pizza tracker.
Women of America.
If you want your husbands back to work, vote for Trump.
If you think women should be able to work, vote for Biden.
Flagpole wrote:
agip wrote:
poking through 538 today...the best news is AZ. It's up to 70% for Joe. The highest yet in that state.
Which is great news because it gives Joe a chance if Trump wins PA.
Enten: Arizona is a massive complication in Trump's re-election bid. If Biden carries the state (and he is ahead and there is no real history of the polls in AZ underestimating GOP), it likely means Trump needs to win 2 of MI, PA, & WI. Not just 1.
Others in your post, all for Biden:
MI - 94%
WI - 93%
PA - 86%
Just sayin'.
all good.
I'm just very worried about PA. The polling there is virtually within the margin of error. And it will have endless lawsuits after election day. They won't start counting votes until election day.
(unless FL goes blue on election night, then maybe we'll all just go home and Netflix and chill)
Biden 363
Trump 175
Biden will take Florida on Election night, and that essentially is all she wrote from there.
Things that really jump out at me:
Biden is significantly more likeable (based on every poll) than Hillary was and Biden's lead (based on every poll) is better nationally and in the swing states (with some exceptions, on nearly every poll) compared to the same time prior to election day. Hillary won popular vote and barely lost (<1% in key swing states).
I don't see him flipping Texas and I gave Trump Ohio, but I think Biden takes it every else that matters. LANDSLIDE.
an actual conservative (not a fake one):
https://twitter.com/DavidAFrench/status/1321807118811516929?s=20
UPDATE!
538 just upped Trump's chances to 11%.
Trumpers remain either JUST stupid or racist.
538 seems to be having model problems working through the GA special election...its predictions for that race have been flying around the map. Probably because it is a jungle primary + runoff situation.
Yesterday Warnock (d) was 64% favored to win the seat. Now he's just 42% likely.
Fats has been warning us not to be optimistic about that seat in a runoff situation.
Just a fyi
Trollminator wrote:
15_50 wrote:
I lied. I didn't watch it because it matters not.... Biden could be every bit as bad as they are claiming but Trump is magnitudes worse...
^ nobody gives a fk about some possible dirt on Biden after these last 4 years with trump. You can thank your orange god
^ learn to read before overreacting.
this is good timing: The generic congressional ballot has blown out in recent day to the biggest numbers for dems since August.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2020_generic_congressional_vote-6722.html
Flagpole's predictions mean squat. If Trump wins (and I am sure he has picked Biden), he is already on record saying that Trump has already cheated. So, I am sure Flagpole will be contesting your prediction contest results as he will contend that Biden is the rightful winner. This might be worse than 2000. Have you made contingencies when participants in your contest are contesting the contest results?
15_50 wrote:
Trollminator wrote:
^ nobody gives a fk about some possible dirt on Biden after these last 4 years with trump. You can thank your orange god
^ learn to read before overreacting.
It was meant to agree with you but poorly worded. The last sentence was directed at the trumpers.
I need to reword that
Sally Vix wrote:
Trollminator wrote:
So far I have FP’s predictions. Can’t wait for the kool aid guzzlers to give this a shot. Step right up.
Flagpole's predictions mean squat. If Trump wins (and I am sure he has picked Biden), he is already on record saying that Trump has already cheated. So, I am sure Flagpole will be contesting your prediction contest results as he will contend that Biden is the rightful winner. This might be worse than 2000. Have you made contingencies when participants in your contest are contesting the contest results?
Shut up and give your predictions
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