Ok, Worldometers just rolled over its data so here's what I got.
Much better day today than yesterday.
Almost all good news, although the US is really becoming bad.
The daily change in worldwide deaths grew only 7%, which is one of the lowest numbers we've seen. But the 3 day average is 14% growth, which isn't much different than what we've seen from the start. So today might have been a one-day blip down worldwide.
In the Italy/France/Spain cluster, there is better news.
Daily deaths fell in Italy 3%. France only grew 7%, Spain only 9%. Those are all among the lowest numbers we've seen. Three day averages are also among the lowest we've seen: 10%,16%,9%. So that's good too.
The US is going to drive the numbers from here, for a while - we should catch Spain and Italy in daily deaths by Tuesday or Wednesday and then keep going. Daily deaths in the US doubled in around 3 days, growing a frightening c. 30% per day. Probably we'll need a 'world ex-USA' data stream to see what is going on outside the US.
Worldwide, the 5 day % increase resumed its recent fall (except for March 27)- showing a 187% growth over 5 days. Which is a big number, but one of the lowest we've seen. The trend is that worldwide % increases in daily deaths is slowing. The problem, again, is the US. Even if deaths start falling in Italy and Spain, our deaths will erase that deficit because our numbers will soon be so large they will dwarf the world and erase any further improvement in Italy/Spain/France we see.
If Italy, france and spain are our time machine to see what the curve looks like, there is some light at the end of the tunnel. Italy has seen a 10 day long band of no growth in new cases. Spain a less defined 4 day band in new cases. I think we have to believe that the lack of growth in new cases in those countries means that deaths will start falling in the not-to-distant future. We just have to hope that the health care systems in Spain and Italy don't collapse.
The German anomaly continues...while Italy/Spain have deaths per million of around 150ish, Gemany is at 5.