Official LRC President Donald J Trump Thread

His campaign for healthcare for all ?

If this is true that Botox Pelosi included an extra $25 million in the coronavirus bill for House of Representatives salaries and expenses ($57K/per year raise), she's done as Speaker. The economy is crashing & Congress wants a pay raise? Insanity.

You never cared before about expensive politicians.

Did fake bake sham get to hand millions of dollars to his failing hotels and resorts?

Rigged for Hillary wrote:

If this is true that Botox Pelosi included an extra $25 million in the coronavirus bill for House of Representatives salaries and expenses ($57K/per year raise), she's done as Speaker. The economy is crashing & Congress wants a pay raise? Insanity.

We need term limits more than ever.

UsedToBeFast wrote:

Rigged for Hillary wrote:

If this is true that Botox Pelosi included an extra $25 million in the coronavirus bill for House of Representatives salaries and expenses ($57K/per year raise), she's done as Speaker. The economy is crashing & Congress wants a pay raise? Insanity.

We need term limits more than ever.

Trump complimented the Democrats and the deal at his PC today, fall in line.

Yonsinglerct wrote:

P wrote:

Your lack of comprehension is duly noted.

When it comes to poorly formulated "models," lack of statistical analysis and fundamental dismissal of mathematical reasoning, you can count me in as lacking comprehension. :)

Carry on though. It is included in my daily chuckle.

The only "debatable" part I've seen is possibly choice of model and interpretation which you can do with almost any data set. Then again, I haven't kept up with all the recent posts.

Don't make me play the PhD card (just kidding, please do because I've been working from home for almost 2 weeks and I'm going insane)

Bill has been stalled?

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-52033863

FYI since data keeps coming in late, I'm going to wait til morning to post the previous day's info.

So far it looks like a big drop in lethality, but have to wait.

Interesting social distancing scoreboard using phone data.

https://www.unacast.com/covid19/social-distancing-scoreboard

agip wrote:

FYI since data keeps coming in late, I'm going to wait til morning to post the previous day's info.

So far it looks like a big drop in lethality, but have to wait.

Talking in your sleep again.

Lying to Americans again.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-claims-trump-misleading-or-false-003607453.html

Most networks cut away https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/coronavirus-trump-press-briefing-white-house-update-today-a9424776.html?utm_source=reddit.com&fbclid=IwAR3vZ2EgnWpDueeNmtIXfnzXpUEJjEb21lXMuK_q4b2a4nK7dS6nn-Bvu54 . Listening to Trump isn't useful and he could harm the nation. Let the doctors Fauci and Cuomo guide the nation's response and have Trump just go play golf.

US Only Numbers

Cumulative Cases (#), Compound daily growth rate since Mar 7 (%):

Mar 7: 551, N/A

Mar 8: 738, 33.9

Mar 9: 919, 29.1

Mar 10: 1,171, 28.6

Mar 11: 1,412, 26.5

Mar 12: 1,762, 26.2

Mar 13. 2,267, 26.6

Mar 14: 2,895, 26.7

Mar 15: 3,678, 26.8

Mar 16: 4,663, 26.8

Mar 17: 6,340, 27.7

Mar 18: 9,269, 29.3

Mar 19: 13,795, 30.8

Mar 20: 19,195, 31.4

Mar 21: 23,919, 30.9

Mar 22: 32,356, 31.2

Mar 23: 43,449, 31.4

Mar 24: 53,260, 30.9

Mar 25: 65,810, 30.4

Cumulative Deaths (#), Compound daily growth rate since Mar 7 (%):

Mar 7: 25, N/A

Mar 8: 28, 12.0

Mar 9: 32, 13.1

Mar 10: 36, 12.9

Mar 11: 43, 14.5

Mar 12: 44, 12.0

Mar 13: 51, 12.6

Mar 14: 58, 12.8

Mar 15: 68, 13.3

Mar 16: 86, 14.7

Mar 17: 106, 15.5

Mar 18: 151, 17.8

Mar 19: 207, 19.3

Mar 20: 248, 19.3

Mar 21: 301, 19.5

Mar 22: 414, 20.6

Mar 23: 545, 21.2

Mar 24: 689, 21.5

Mar 25: 935, 22.3

Fatality Rate (Cumulative deaths/cases)

Mar 7: 4.5%

Mar 8: 3.8%

Mar 9: 3.5%

Mar 10: 3.1%

Mar 11: 3.0%

Mar 12: 2.5%

Mar 13: 2.2%

Mar 14: 2.0%

Mar 15: 1.8%

Mar 16: 1.8%

Mar 17: 1.7%

Mar 18: 1.6%

Mar 19: 1.5%

Mar 20: 1.3%

Mar 21: 1.3%

Mar 22: 1.3%

Mar 23: 1.3%

Mar 24: 1.3%

Mar 25: 1.4%

///

Note 1: US death growth rate of 22% is in line with most nations prior to taking serious action. Case growth rate of 30% is inflated due to significantly increased testing as compared to the base date of March 7.

Note 2: Fatality rates among reported cases falling as number of reported cases explodes and due to continuing relative newness of reported cases in the US (1/2 of reported cases are from the last 3 days!). This also means that the real fatality rate among the 65,810 cases reported so far will end up being substantially above the current 1.4%.

Note 3: Substantial "lockdown" or "shelter in place" orders have been in place for less than one week. Even the ones in place cover only a fraction of the population. Still, they should have some impact. Expect to see some slowdown in real case growth rate in about one more week. Corresponding slowdown in death growth rates to follow 5 - 7 days later.

Note 4: Current half measures will simply not be enough to really get a handle on this thing. This is especially true if they are lifted by Easter as some are suggesting.

Note 5: In 2 weeks, around the time there may be some improvement in death rate growth, the death counts in the US are likely to be climbing above 2,000 per day.

Note 6: It took roughly 9.5 days to go from 550 cases to 5,500 cases. Another 7.5 days to get to 55,000. Expect to hit 550,000 cases in the US within 8 - 12 days. This is just how exponential growth works.

Yes, it’s just trump campaigning & calling it a coronavirus update.

It’s working, too (for the moment).

Like the stock market, though, it’s strictly a sucker’s rally. Lies can’t prop up capitalism or trump, only teamwork can get us through this.

G7 leaders break with USA, refuse to call it Wuhan virus, release their own statements.

Yesterday was a day of improvement in almost all daily fatality numbers.

Overall, looking at the entire world, there was no growth in daily deaths.

That is significant because we've been seeing a 17% daily growth in that cohort.

The current three day moving average is +14%, which is lower than the average, but not by much.

Looking at the core France, Italy, Spain group, deaths fell 6%. Three day moving average was +12%, vs a +20% since the start of the pandemic. So that is good, going in the right direction.

The bad news is that deaths in the US are ramping up - so deaths in the non-FIS nations grew 15% day over day. Although that is less than the 3 day average.

What we'd all like to see is Italy-France-Spain form a curve. The data are still spiky so can't make it out yet.

To show a data stream, this shows in another way how March 25 was an unusually good day.

This is the growth in deaths over 5 days. Meaning the first number shows the death total on March 8 compared to the death total 5 days earlier.

You can see how the numbers have been roughly the same, within a band, until yesterday. The 176% growth over 5 days is a break in the data. Good news. One day.

196%

204%

253%

193%

227%

217%

267%

198%

259%

200%

192%

220%

176%