Outlaw the Waffle biscuit wrote:
I'm judging this on my own PRs and I was very far from elite even at the college level...
I got the 800,1500, and 5k
3k off by 14 sec
10k I'm off by 30 seconds,
Half marathon off by 3 minutes,
400 I'm off by .4
200 off by .9
100 of by 1 sec.
Never ran the marathon
I imagine an elite 800-1500 runner comes very close during their running career if they move up to the marathon eventually. I bet if a sprinter turned distance runner could do this over the course of 6-10 years.
Yr 1 - Run 10.4 and 21.3 (then start putting those miles in)
Yr. 2 - run 47.4
Yr 3-5 run 1:53.0 3:50, and 8:05
Yr 6-7 14:10 and 29:17
Yr. 7-10run 1:05 and 2:15
Totally possible for a skinny sprinter turned distance runner to do the women's WR cycle.
You're missing both the extreme ends of the spectrum by considerable margins. 10.49 and 2:15 are both really fast--times like that require a person--male or female--to have exceedingly specialized body types and muscle fiber compositions, likely beyond the extent that more training will get you.
I don't believe most elite 800/1500 guys have the ability to move up to a marathon and run 2:15 at any point in their lives--the same ability that lets them run 50-53 or close a 3:45 race with a 50 is the kind of thing that would prevent them from running 26 miles at 5 minute pace. I'd venture to say that most men cannot train for and run a 2:15 marathon--that's top ~0.1% talent or better.
Again, I also don't think you get just how fast 10.49 is. That's the kind of time that most people--including most mid/distance elites--don't have the physical makeup to ever hit.
I don't believe any modern male athlete could get every women's WR from 100 - marathon. The talent required for 10.49 is so radically different from what's required for 2:15. If we take the 10.61 that's likely the accurate women's 100WR, someone like Rudisha might be able to get from 100 - 10k over the course of his life, but I think even that's a stretch--and the half/full marathon wouldn't be close.