Spirig ran 2:37 in the marathon at the 2014 Euro Championships on a fairly hilly course and focused on marathon training. Jorgensen is a better runner, NYC is probably a tougher course, and it doesn't sound like she's specifically focusing on marathon training. Sub-2:40 would be a pretty good day for her.
Thats a silly comparison. Lance went years without running a step. Jorgenson runs 50mpw on the regular
PUBLICITY STUNT.
the black hole wrote:
PUBLICITY STUNT.
Yep, but I'll go with the conventential wisdom and go 2:36, especially if she is transitioning to the iron man distance .
Again, you have no idea what you are writing about. Gwen ran over a minute faster than the next fastest woman (and that included silver medalist Norden) just over 2 months later at worlds in Auckland in 2012 and that bike was very difficult and Gwen still was relatively weak on the bike then. Gwen very likely would have won gold in London but for her flat as she was by far the fastest runner in the field and the bike was a flat spin-fest. The only way she wouldn't have is if Spirig outkicked her (which definitely was possible given Nicola's sprinting talents).