Coffee and Gatorade wrote:
Props to him for maximizing his Olympic chances but he must be doubting his ability to make the 10k team. Lack of finishing speed and few if any wins against top level American competition on the track support this view.
The marathon, more than any other race, benefits from racing experience. If you haven't run one then you don't understand the unique kind of pain that comes from being beat up, dehydrated, and glycogen depleted post mile 20. This is something that is very difficult to simulate in training and wholly different from a 10k or even cross country.
It's also a different type of training that benefits from a longer adaptation period to train the different systems and dial in fueling. He'll be 4-5 months off 5k training. Don't know if that's enough time.
1.) Lack of finishing speed, relative to whom? He got 3rd at 2013 U.S. Nationals in the 10,000, 2nd at 2014 U.S. Nationals. That doesn't happen unless you have finishing speed, especially since those were both slow races. He may not have world-class finishing speed, but we're talking about making the U.S. team, and he definitely has the finishing speed for that.
2.) I'm not really sure why fueling gets brought up so much in the marathon. Isn't the whole idea to train your body to burn more fat, of which it has plenty, so that you have some glycogen left? Kenenisa doesn't fuel, if I'm not mistaken. Do any of the 'big boys' fuel?