Cheserek is not invincible, but there's no one this year who's even remotely capable of beating him. Who would do it? Anthony Rotich isn't that good at xc, Patrick Tiernan is fast, but has never shown any ability to beat Cheserek, Sean McGorty has faced Cheserek several times and lost to him every single time (why does he wait for the kick every time? His kick is nothing special), and Knight has barely been ahead of McGorty in races, and has proven himself to be quite mortal.
The only two runners who have shown they're a cut above everyone in the NCAA other than Cheserek are Marc Scott, and Tommy Curtin. Two people who no one but the most ardent fans knew about 2 months ago. And you think they're going to beat Edward "how many NCAA titles now?" Cheserek? Seriously? They're both great runners, but they're not going to beat Cheserek when he's on his game, like he certainly will be.
I think Curtin isn't going to commit to the tactics that let him beat Cheserek once, as he knows it's suicidal in a field like this. The pace is relatively fast, but not too quick--there'll be a big pack at 8k, when Cheserek will detonate and win easily. Tiernan, Knight, or McGorty for 2nd. Colorado wins.