Which will happen first, and approximately when: a sub 26 min 10,000m or a sub 2 hour marathon?
Which of these two barriers is the most difficult?
Have at it you LRC piranhas!
Which will happen first, and approximately when: a sub 26 min 10,000m or a sub 2 hour marathon?
Which of these two barriers is the most difficult?
Have at it you LRC piranhas!
Well, right now, you have many people assaulting the marathon record but no one pushing even their own PR's in the 10,000.
sub 2 marathon by about 50 years
10k is a dead event. Sub 2 in the marathon will happen in 60-75 years.
10000m WR is about .70 seconds per 400m off.
Marathon WR is 1.68 seconds per 400m off.
Sub-2 hour marathon is WAY further off.
Look at it this way: Bekele would have been right around 9888 meters at 26:00. That's 98.9% of the distance.
Kimetto would have been at 25.76 miles at 2:00. That's 98.3% of the distance.
In order for the marathon to be as close as the 10000m (98.888%), the marathon WR would need to be around 1:01:21.
Not even close.
if Kipchoge can have another time trial like that he may break 1:59:30