Maybe you LetsRunners do this every year, but I can't help myself...
800 m: Solomon, Greer, Sowinski // Wilson, Martinez, Montano
1500m: Centrowitz, Wheating, Symmonds // Simpson, Rowbury, Cain
Steeple: Jager, Huling, Bayer // Coburn, Bush
5000m: Rupp, Fernandez, Derrick // Huddle, Hasay, Moser
10000m: Rupp, Derrick, True // Huddle, Hasay, Conley
I am about 96% sure with the men and 76% sure with the women...I can and will defend these positions.
I forgot to mention who medals:
Rupp -10000m
Centro
Jager
Wilson
Martinez
Simpson
Coburn
I wouldn't discount Leer for the 1500, it's possible he could make it,
I have my doubts about Symmonds and whether or not he can regain his fitness in time.
However, I think that your predictions are pretty good.
#gohuddle
I would put Lagat on the 5000 team or 10000 if he wants to be on it.
I think Flanagan will be on the 10000 team.
Women's: 800m- 1) Wilson, 2) Roesler, 3) MartinezRoelser did a ton of racing and wasn't very sharp later on in this summer when she ran back to back 1:59's, she can run 1:58, maybe 1:57 high next season, Wilson has really good tactics and will get her, Martized is inconsistent, but will do enough to hang on1500m- 1) Simpson, 2) Rowbury 3) CainOf course DL Champ Simpson can lead wire to wire to win, Rowbury like in DL Zurich will be following closely behind, and Cain will be 5th-6th, before last lap, but will use her speed to take 3rd over the last 150m3k Steeple- 1) CoburnCoburn's 9:11 AR has her a bit over this field, other than her, I don't really follow Women's steeple, maybe Higginson? Cheever? Idk...5000m- 1) Huddle, 2) Thweatt 3) CuffeHuddle said in an article that she was thinking about next year, just doing the 10k because of her success at the higher distances lately (for women's 10k is after 5k)... It makes sense, women's 10k isn't a strong, Shalane and Kara have gotten medals in 07, 08, and her 14:42 AR is impressive, but it'll take more than that to medal... Rowbury did 14:48, but don't think she will double... Thweatt's 15:04 at Payton Jordan was impressive and I think Huddle will make the past honest, flowing right into her type of race... Last one is tough, but ill say Moser, she ran 15:13 at Oxy and that was only a tune-up, didn't do so well at US Champs last year, but Salazar will develop her into a 5k type, watch out for Collegiates: D'agostino, Disanza, Cuffe, and Nike signee Marielle Hall10000m- 1) Huddle, 2) Thweatt 3) HasayHasay has impressed me w/ her 10k's as of lately and her PR'ing at her lower distances... Thweatt ran 15:04, but is even more of a 10k type, I think she can go 31:10, so I would put her just ahead of Hasay, Huddle, no explanation... Watch out for Emily Sisson or Sarah Disanza if she decides to move up in distance...Men's: 800m- 1) Symmonds, 2) Solomon, 3) SowinskiSymmonds will come back in nice 1:43 form and it won't go too fast so he'll get to save a kick for Solomon, and Sowinski will have the closing speed to get that last spot1500m- 1) Centrowitz, 2) Manzano 3) TorrenceI'm banking on Centro's speed this time, but Manzano has been top 3 the last 8 or 9 US champs so he comes in clutch at the U.S. Champs, can't see him not making it right behind Centro, and Torrence has very good potential, he has 3:33 in his back pocket, and he signed w/ Hoka, if he trains w/ Manzano, that could make him more convincing for this 3rd pick3k steeple- 1) Jäger, 2) Huling 3) Cowart5000m- 1) Rupp, 2) Lagat 3) HillRupp did his job last year in the DL (especially at Zurich) and had some good races, enough to convince me to put him at the top spot over Lagat... Lagat is getting old, but at the end of the year, he did run that tactical 13:06 which let me know in peak form he can still produce some good results, oh yeah, and his U.S. indoor 3k along w/ a silver at World ahead of Gebremeskel, and Hill has a lethal kick and it could keep him in this top 3, but still watch out for True, Mead, Lamong if he chooses 5k, and Derrick10000m- 1) Rupp, 2) Derrick, 3) TrueRupp, no explanation, but I can see Derrick finishing over True in this if the pace is honest... Both of them are aerobic monsters, but I feel like people under estimate Derricks's speed, yeah sure at 5k True can finish well, but he has 7:34 3k speed, at 10k who knows? I putting my bets on Derrick...
LetsPredictWorlds wrote:
Maybe you LetsRunners do this every year, but I can't help myself...
800 m: Solomon, Greer, Sowinski // Wilson, Martinez, Montano
1500m: Centrowitz, Wheating, Symmonds // Simpson, Rowbury, Cain
Steeple: Jager, Huling, Bayer // Coburn, Bush
5000m: Rupp, Fernandez, Derrick // Huddle, Hasay, Moser
10000m: Rupp, Derrick, True // Huddle, Hasay, Conley
I am about 96% sure with the men and 76% sure with the women...I can and will defend these positions.
Sorry, I meant to say Jäger in that last post, oh yeah, and medal predictions
Simpson in 1500m
Coburn in 3k steeple
Huddle in 10k
Rupp in 10k
And Jäger in 3k steeple
LetsPredictWorlds wrote:
1500m: ... // Simpson, Rowbury, Cain
We get four spots in the women's 1500 thanks to Simpson
Marathon:
Women: Esther Erb (qualified by winning Twin Cities), Deena Kastor (will win LA, but qualified through New York City), and 3rd spot is a toss-up if Desi or Shalane takes it or Annie Bersagel. Lauren Kleppin won't get in because LA isn't IAAF certified, and there's others who have faster performances (on IAAF certified courses) than her NYC performance.
Men: Tyler Pennel (by winning Twin Cities), Meb will win LA (but qualify cause of his Boston performance=IAAF certified course), and Jeff Eggleston (2:10:52 at Gold Coast, IAAF-certified). If any of these three back out, Ryan Vail or Fernando Cabada will be alternates. I could see Meb running the World Champs this time as a "feather in his cap", by trying to get a World Championship medal.
Lagat, Rupp, and True for 5k. Rupp might beat Lagat at the trials cuz Lagat is more patient with the training process than Galen and waits longer to get in tip top shape.
Symmonds won't make the 1500m. 1500 is Centro and then a toss up for the next 2 spots.
Not sure why my IOS8 won't let me type Evan Jäger in, it always turns into Jer
Maybe Jager will work
PS he's German so he has an accent on top of the a, probably why its messing up
800 m: Solomon, Andrews, Sowinski, (Greer)
1500m: Centrowitz, Manzano, Casey, (Wheating)
Steeple: Jager, Huling, Leslie, (Forys)
5000m: Rupp, Hill, Derrick, (True)
10000m: Rupp, Derrick, Lagat, (True)
marathon analysis wrote:
Marathon:
Women: Esther Erb (qualified by winning Twin Cities), Deena Kastor (will win LA, but qualified through New York City), and 3rd spot is a toss-up if Desi or Shalane takes it or Annie Bersagel. Lauren Kleppin won't get in because LA isn't IAAF certified, and there's others who have faster performances (on IAAF certified courses) than her NYC performance.
Men: Tyler Pennel (by winning Twin Cities), Meb will win LA (but qualify cause of his Boston performance=IAAF certified course), and Jeff Eggleston (2:10:52 at Gold Coast, IAAF-certified). If any of these three back out, Ryan Vail or Fernando Cabada will be alternates. I could see Meb running the World Champs this time as a "feather in his cap", by trying to get a World Championship medal.
I'd be shocked if Meb ran LA next year. As defending champ, he'll command a huge appearance fee at Boston.
Ok lets give this a shot:
Men:
800m: Solomon, Symmonds, Sowinski
1500m: Centrowitz, Manzano, Torrence
Steeple: Jager, Huling, Cabral
5000m: Rupp, Fernandez, Lagat
10000m: Rupp, Derrick, True
Marathon: Pennel, Meb, Eggleston
Women:
800m: Wilson, Martinez, Roesler
1500m: Simpson, Rowbury, Cain, Martinez
Steeple: Coburn...
5000m: Huddle, Hasay, Sisson
10000m: Huddle, Hasay, Conley
Marathon: Erb, Kastor, Flanagan
I hate trying to predict who will double or what events people will run, but...
Solomon, Sowinski, Greer/Wilson, Martinez, Roesler
Centro, Manzano, Casey/Simpson, Rowbury, Cain, Moser
Jager, Huling, Cabral/Coburn, Higginson, Kipp
Rupp, Lagat, Hill/Huddle, Hall, Sisson
Rupp, Derrick, Solinsky/Flanagan, Hasay, Conley
Okay, just kidding about Solinsky. Chelanga will be the other qualifier.
I just want to say this thread is awesome. I don't have an educated prediction myself, but it's cool to read.
LetsPredictWorlds wrote:
...5000m: Rupp, Fernandez, Derrick // Huddle, Hasay, Moser...
I would love to see Fernandez make it....but it has been sssoooooooooo long, it's hard to keep the faith.
I don't understand why anyone thinks Fernandez will do anything again. Sure, "talent never goes away", but he's been hammering the nail for a long time with no results. If "talent never goes away" was the only maxim, Webb and Solinsky would still be on top. Third at club cross could be a positive sign, but it's by no means proof of a comeback.
800: Solomon, Sowinski, Symmonds / Wilson, Martinez, Roesler
1500: Centro, Leo, Torrence / Simpson, Cain, Rowbury
Steeple: Jager, Huling, Cabral / Coburn, Garcia, Bush
5k: Rupp, Hill, Mead / Huddle, Rowbury? (double?), Disanza
10k: Hasay, Conley, Thweatt (if Shalane runs then Shalane, Hasay, Conley) / Rupp, Derrick, True