Mary Cain fans, serious question. Do you think she'll ever do what Ajee Wilson did today? Win a DL in a WL time?

statitstics man wrote:

I'm not trying to be a hater and know the US is full of Cain fans.

But we must not take for granted what Wilson did. Truly amazing. World leading victory.

After it was over, i though to myself, "Track is obsessed with the future. I bet Mary cain never does that in her life."

Two questions.

1) What are the odds that Cain ever does what Wilson did today?

2) When is the last time an American won a DL event in a world leading time? (Ignoring Coburn if she did it)

Wilson won and had to run fast to do so. I think that's the point when you line up; win. Sometimes that means you have to run fast. She's clearly capable of doing so.

I don't think enough Americans actually expect or intend to win when they race. I find that "truly amazing".

Will Cain ever win a DL and have to run a WL time to do so? Yeah, she probably will if she races enough over the next 5 years. If Al Sal protects her too much and only lets her race a few times per season when he thinks she's super fit, then no, I'd say probably not.

Odds? How about 3:7

Just focusing on Cain's own event, Jenny Simpson is only 0.22 off the world lead. If Cain can become a 3:57-8 runner, she has a very plausible chance of pulling off a DL win. That's really what it comes down to.

"No, I am psychic and know that Mary Cain will end her career at 4:01.shit, and will never win a global title or a DL. Ajee's gonna run 1:54, win 15 DLs and win 2 WCs and an OG" come on, none of you guys know mothafuk.

Screw fuk wrote:

"No, I am psychic and know that Mary Cain will end her career at 4:01.shit, and will never win a global title or a DL. Ajee's gonna run 1:54, win 15 DLs and win 2 WCs and an OG" come on, none of you guys know mothafuk.

I highly doubt she will run 1:54, she only runs to compete and never goes after times; she has been like that since her age group days.

Not a chance. Ajee's run today surpassed anything Cain will ever accomplish as a pro.

lazy person wrote:

Mary Cain made the final and came in 10th at the World Championships last year. She was 17. Yes, it is possible she will one day win a Diamond League event in a world leading time.

I did it,

I mean if Alan Webb can do it, so can Mary Cain.

I would put it at about a 90% chance.

Uceny has done it. Vessey. Most people who win Pre.

like, wow... wrote:

Not a chance. Ajee's run today surpassed anything Cain will ever accomplish as a pro.

What's funny is you are flat out wrong. You could have guessed any probability in the world between 0% and 100% and your guess would have been possible.

But you said no chance. That is false. It's kind of amusing that on a subjective, opinion based question like this you could manage to stumble into one of the few factually wrong options, but you did!

Lol...poor logic. Simpson didn't run 3:57 in that meet and Cain hasn't come close.

Consider This wrote:

sbeefyk1 wrote:

What's Cain done this year anyways?

Nothing memorable and no PRs is the correct answer.

At her age she should be PRing just by waking up and eating fruit loops.

Wasn't she a close second to 3:57 runner Jenny Simpson at Nationals?

Wow your post is just full of things that make my post wrong. Lol.

The true stats man wrote:

like, wow... wrote:

Not a chance. Ajee's run today surpassed anything Cain will ever accomplish as a pro.

What's funny is you are flat out wrong. You could have guessed any probability in the world between 0% and 100% and your guess would have been possible.

But you said no chance. That is false. It's kind of amusing that on a subjective, opinion based question like this you could manage to stumble into one of the few factually wrong options, but you did!

sbeefyk1 wrote:

What's Cain done this year anyways?

Nothing memorable and no PRs is the correct answer.

At her age she should be PRing just by waking up and eating fruit loops.

Let's see...no...no...yes she should and has and will

6 prs technically (5 listed)

2 WJR's

US champion indoors at altitude running 4:07.05

2nd at USA outdoors to Jenny

I'd say her year is pretty good so far. Virtually unstoppable indoors, outdoors she's coming along well and if she's healthy will smash her outdoor prs. Track isn't about running fast in April/May/June.

You lika the juice?...........The juice is good!..........Have some more juice......LMFAO

Steak & Wings wrote:

Sure, why not? Never underestimate the NOPe dope, centro sauce and oregon juice.

Turn the question around: Two years ago when Wilson was Cain's age do you think she could have done what she did yesterday?

I think the answer is totally unknowable for Wilson and Cain.

The Champ wrote:

statitstics man wrote:

I'm not trying to be a hater and know the US is full of Cain fans.

But we must not take for granted what Wilson did. Truly amazing. World leading victory.

After it was over, i though to myself, "Track is obsessed with the future. I bet Mary cain never does that in her life."

Two questions.

1) What are the odds that Cain ever does what Wilson did today?

2) When is the last time an American won a DL event in a world leading time? (Ignoring Coburn if she did it)

Hello Rojo

I too think this is rojo

statitstics man wrote:

But we must not take for granted what Wilson did. Truly amazing. World leading victory.

Coburn did it two months ago. Not amazing.

statitstics man wrote:

What are the odds that Cain ever does what Wilson did (Ignoring Coburn if she did it)

Sounds like a question we should plug into the NOAA climatological pobability forecasting super computer and see what it has to say. Of course we all know the accuracies of this technology. It will forecast 100 percent chance of rain and it doesn't. The forecast model will predict 10 percent and it rains like hell. I don't even want to go into global warming.

My magic 8 ball said maybe, stupid 8 ball. I posed the question to by battery powered Yoda doll that talks back to you. Know what he said? "Hard to predict the future is.". Frickin ambiguous Jedi crapola. Went to my local sports bookie for the odds an he just laughed at me.

So, I flipped a coin, heads she does, tails she doen't. It came up heads, so I guess she will. Of course it was a two headed coin.

Cain needs to run more competitive races to increase her race IQ and she will do fine.

The jr 3k this week is another opportunity to learn how to compete successfully with the Africans and Europeans.

Agee stayed just off the pace and then made her move at the top of the homestretch...

Cain can win the 3k this week if she does not let the Africans get an easy, non pressed lead.

Wilson is a Jersey girl too.

#1ajee wilson goes to school full time.sports med. Wasn\'t when won last two

wins.....defintly.going to run.at least 1or2 .seconds.fasajeeter.next july and august...that will defintly happen...some of u don\'t know track record.or ajee...july..august..!!!!!!always willlllll run her fastest.a fact.2016 dead on pace world rec..if not then..shortly after...she sees it...her coach.he\'s running her perfectly.mary cain. Y\'all sound foolish she\'s great. Anything can happen in her future.....after that race

Ajee....mary cain is far behind....