Farah 2nd favourite...

Kipsang's best odds are 9/4, but as low as 7/4 with some firms.

Farah's odds vary - 3/1 with some, but several looking to take him on and go 6/1.

after that, best odds available are:

Kebede - 6/1

G. Mutai - 15/2

E. Mutai - 10/1

Kiprotich - 14/1

Abshero - 16/1

This year being internet famous doesn't mean much. But mobile is moving fast and online broadcasting will surpass tv. Lucille Ball wanted to turn down a tv opportunity (when she wasn't really known)because at that time it was the equivalent to being internet famous.

If Farah wins, the fix is on. Seems like stupid money on him is pushing down his odds.

not at all - his odds are drifting. Wlliam Hill, for example, were 3/1 when I wrote my first post about an hour ago. Now out to 6/1.

They're really out to get him. 6/1 is a very attractive price for the layman on the street who doesn't really understand marathon running and just knows who Mo Farah is. If the bookies were genuinely worried that he'd win, they'd be squeezing his price down but they're doing the absolute opposite. As and when sizeable amounts of money come in for him, they'll bring his price down accordingly to reduce their liabilities, but everything I can see at this stage suggests they don't expect him to win

Betfair has him 4th fave at 7/1

Kipsang 3/1

Kebede 6/1

Mutai 4/1

Interestingly to lay bet on Mo, which I was considering, is 1/10 - which is more like his real chances

Marathon is least predictable event for betting

Think the best odds probably lie with E.Mutai at 10/1

Mo, of course, was never going to be good value.

eddieshoe wrote:

Think the best odds probably lie with E.Mutai at 10/1

Mo, of course, was never going to be good value.

G. Mutai at 7/1 is also worth looking into. He just beat Farah, and he won NYC twice, Boston once and is CR holder on both.

Betting odds are partially based on demand and if everyone wants to bet on Mo, he will naturally move into the favorites spot.

Anyway, with so many great runners, I think there are better ways to make money than betting on this race.

One of the interesting aspects about the odds offered for Farah, is that you can still make a profit on him coming 2nd or 3rd. The bookies are really out to get him.

'Each way' odds (a split bet, where half your stake is win only and the other half is to place - in this instance, Top 3 - at 1/4 the original odds) would only allow you to break even if you bet at odds of 4/1 or greater. Therefore, at 6/1 you can still make a profit betting 'each way' on Farah if he came 2nd or 3rd. For example:

£5 each way at 6/1 (total of £10 staked)=

£5 win only at 6/1

£5 to place (1st, 2nd or 3rd) at 6/4

if he wins you win on both bets : £35 plus £12.50, total £47.50

if he comes 2nd or 3rd, you win £12.50, still a small profit on your £10 stake.

Mutai at 8-1 felt like good value to me.

Speaker wrote:

Mutai at 8-1 felt like good value to me.

If you bet a certain amount on everyone except Mo and Mo didn't win you could probably guarantee some profit.

G Mutai @ 15/2

Kiprotich @ 14/1

Jeilan @ 20/1

Would be the bets I'd look into

Jeilan is out for blood. He will more than likely beat Farah.

this race is about a ferrari v jalopies

that ferrari couda gone 2"02-mid on a flat course in his new york '11 shape

he's looking to repeat that kinda shape

there's only 1 place to put that 10 bucks on...

If you want to bet on a single person for the win the I'd go for one of the lesser known guys who at least have a chance of staying with the leaders like Feyisa Lilesa or Stanley Biwott for example.

ventolin^3 wrote:

this race is about a ferrari v jalopies

that ferrari couda gone 2"02-mid on a flat course in his new york '11 shape

he's looking to repeat that kinda shape

there's only 1 place to put that 10 bucks on...

Had a chance to very briefly chat with Mr. Mutai and he rated his New York time as superior to his Boston time - which I agree with but which makes it all the more odd people go on about the Bston run.

Nutella1 wrote:

eddieshoe wrote:

Think the best odds probably lie with E.Mutai at 10/1

Mo, of course, was never going to be good value.

G. Mutai at 7/1 is also worth looking into.

No kidding. G Mutai is my bet to win

Mo to break the UK record at 1/2 (-200 or 1.5 for US punters) looks the stand out price with Will HIlls and Boylesports.

You can also back him to break the course record at 20/1. I am really opposing him for this marathon but i would say 10/1 the correct price for him to break the course record.

Very little value in outright markets. I make Farahs real price 11/1 and I think Stephen Kiprotich should be about 33/1 in a paced marathon against this field.

Despite thoses 2 guys being hugely underpriced, there is so much margin taken out of the market, it is tough to find value.

I tipped on 7/2 for Kipsang on Twitter a month ago and 12/1 on G Mutai was available each way but all of that gone.