Agip I have given specifics for a long time now. I don’t know what to tell you.
Agip I have given specifics for a long time now. I don’t know what to tell you.
agip wrote:
Racket wrote:
Stocks : down by a lot
Bonds : down by a lot (wait what?)
Gold : up by 1%
Stock Market : makes no fvcking sense
huh?
bonds are making good money today.
Total bond index up 38 bps. Treasury funds up more than that.
gold etfs are up 1.8%.
I was definitely looking at yields on just the 10 year lol whoops.
Maserati wrote:
Agip I have given specifics for a long time now. I don’t know what to tell you.
I’ll admit I have a hard time interpreting your specifics most of the time. Either you are thinking and writing on a different plane than me or else writing in code. :)
I suppose the powers that could push the buttons move assets higher just experienced a brain freeze. No worries, just the flu. Buy on the dip. It’s worked in the past. Like in the movie Horse Soldiers, drink a bottle of whisky, stick a piece of leather between your teeth, let ‘um saw your leg off. It’s only money.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Buy on the dip.
Great advice for a change.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
I suppose the powers that could push the buttons move assets higher just experienced a brain freeze. No worries, just the flu. Buy on the dip. It’s worked in the past. Like in the movie Horse Soldiers, drink a bottle of whisky, stick a piece of leather between your teeth, let ‘um saw your leg off. It’s only money.
Every time the market has one of these short lived 2-3% drops the guy creams his jeans hoping it will turn in to something more.
5 years of dreaming of the day he can proclaim "SEE I TOLD YOU SO".
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Says the guy that has zero to offer other than playing his junior high games.
Oh, the irony!
?
fricken vix up 50% today.
Does that happen often? Seems ah extreme.
no doubt many big houses spending millions to buy puts. Alarming.
on the other hand
vix is already at 26...usually buying when it's at 28 is a safe bet so by that measure we're already almost there.
agip wrote:
Down 1,000 points.
that just sounds crazy to old timers like me
It does sound crazy for those of us that have been around the block a time or two. But it’s not thanks to that fat denominator...at least for now.
Specific: the markets will drop further from here.
Specific: Fed will cut rates
Specific: Fed rate cut effect will not compensate for losses
Specific: I did not sell at top
Specific: I will not buy at bottom
Specific: physical Au fakes have increased
Specific: there are lenders that will show weakness next quarter
Specific: nothing will recover until at soonest summer
Specific: Trump will win election
Specific: I told you when I bought, and some of what
Specific: I told you when I liquidated all but about 3.5% b&h
Specific: I told you when I bought that the rise would not last the full quarter as all were predicting, but something less
Specific: I told you about a gold etf that I bought that has done great since I bought it
Specific: I would not buy at this level
Specific: my b&h has US megacaps and little CHN exposure, and much AMZN, MSFT, among others
Etc.
Last hour will be critical to whether I sell remaining b&h.
Maserati wrote:Last hour will be critical to whether I sell remaining b&h.
Mas, this is an example of cryptic writing. No doubt you have a very clear meaning you intend to convey, but without context, some of which may be blindingly obvious to you, I can’t make heads nor tails. Granted, as we have already established, I am an idiot so maybe it’s just me. :)
I am assuming the definition of b&h for most investors has an expiration date longer than Maserati, but won’t last much beyond a market bottom.
It’s not cryptic, it simply has no actionable content for anyone. Comments like that are just real-time journaling. Not all comments will have actionable content. It will only be determined toward close if there is a prospect of a dead cat bounce tomorrow, and then I will decide.
What do you guys want, a running video??
Specific: I will not sell b&h if, based on this last hour, I feel that there is a good chance of a bounce tomorrow.
This is a small situation, and not significant for me overall. My b&h is a psychology experiment. All the major stuff has been done, and specifics given.
Militating against disbelief and distrust will be virus news fatigue. The recovery from this, when it happens, will be vigorous. Again valuations don’t matter, it is all sentiment. People get tired of feeling like crap pretty quickly these days, especially when prompted to do so.
Sold.
Still don’t see upside. General public hasn’t yet woken up, fatigue not yet set in. Clueless.
Will take politics to make a significant change in the markets. If Trump gets a good upper hand, I will re-enter. Also might buy some specifics like goog.
Will take a look at disproportionate losers today, but not excited to do any buying.
Going out shopping now for dried peas, lentils, tinned fish, dry pasta, canned tomatoes, etc.
Today may have cleared some dead wood and things might rise pretty well in a few days, but it doesn’t excite me.
I feel good. Past 10 months have been excellent.
I bought sardines on sale at Costco, about a dollar a tin. Good on crackers.
Trump’s in charge Maserati, he’ll force Powell to cut. No sweat man.
Trivial in light of virus effects and news.
Rate cuts are for normal times, not for today’s times.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
I am assuming the definition of b&h for most investors has an expiration date longer than Maserati, but won’t last much beyond a market bottom.
You know what they say about people that assume.
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