2010 Jamboree Results
1 Girma Mecheso 23:46.17 (2009 - 24:38)
5 Colby Lowe 24:28.59 (2009 - 23:54)
6 German Fernandez 24:28.74
7 Tom Farrell 24:28.80
9 Johnathan Stublaski 24:47.82 (2009 - 24:31)
11 Matthew McElroy 24:55.69
13 Joseph Manilafasha 25:00.51 (2009 - 25:13)
20 Shane Moskowitz 25:17.36
23 Sean Fleming 25:25.77 3:11
Ryan Prentice DNS (2009 - 24:54)
Good news - Bad news for OK State NCAA hopes
Good news - Girma is clearly in pretty good form early on. Most likely GF and CL were just pacing Farrell and (from all reports) they seem to be healthy as well. All three at full strength is a top three that can hang with anyone else's top three.
Bad news - Nobody else seems all that likely to step up to the level necessary to be a contender. Stublaski and Manilafasha aren't much different than a year ago when Stublaski finished 123rd at Nats. Farrell was most likely the one that Lowe and Fernandez were waiting for during the Jamboree and he only ran 2.5 seconds better than Stublaski did last year. McElroy only ran as fast as Prentice did his freshman year as well as last year and Moskowitz was behind that.
Where's that #4 and #5?
It still seems pretty clear to me that these folks are not really contenders for the podium (let alone a repeat championship) at Nationals. With the big three healthy, however, they should be at the top end of the range (maybe #5).
And it is hard to believe that the coaches' poll does not reflect the fairly obvious reality.