Yeah Kelati should get the standard with some ease if things have gone well since USA XC. Ultimately she *could* run with the top 2 here as she adjusts to higher mileage, but it feels that might be an unnecessary risk here.
It was pay per view last year...but to get the right status to count appropriately in world rankings or something they needed a certain amount of guaranteed prize money...only way to get that was to partner with FloTrack
Your lack of focus on Weini Kelati in the article is surprising. Shes in remarkable form currently and using the conversion calculator you used for Tsigie Gebreselama, her American half marathon record converts to 30:00 or just slightly under. She could very well decide to take a shot at the American record but at the very least expect her to be someone who gets the autoqualifier. Monson didn't seem too happy about her 2 mile time a month ago so unless it was an off race or in heavy training, she might be taking on too much with the pace.
Her PRs, which are 14:54/31:04, and were run last year, make running 30:00 seem very unlikely. I’m thinking the online performance calculators don’t yet account for the effects of the new road race shoes.
Your lack of focus on Weini Kelati in the article is surprising. Shes in remarkable form currently and using the conversion calculator you used for Tsigie Gebreselama, her American half marathon record converts to 30:00 or just slightly under. She could very well decide to take a shot at the American record but at the very least expect her to be someone who gets the autoqualifier. Monson didn't seem too happy about her 2 mile time a month ago so unless it was an off race or in heavy training, she might be taking on too much with the pace.
Her PRs, which are 14:54/31:04, and were run last year, make running 30:00 seem very unlikely. I’m thinking the online performance calculators don’t yet account for the effects of the new road race shoes.
She's much better the longer you go. Sub-30:00 is a bit aggressive, but she is gonna crush 31:04. I'd put money on 30:30 for her.
Her PRs, which are 14:54/31:04, and were run last year, make running 30:00 seem very unlikely. I’m thinking the online performance calculators don’t yet account for the effects of the new road race shoes.
Her mileage is up a lot and that HM was a breakthrough and outlier performance. The 10,000 race was not particularly well set up for a maximal time. She ran with a group behind the winner (who broke 30). So it was basically no-man's land or where she was, and she draw pretty far clear of good runners in Warner-Judd (30:41 this year) and Battocletti (14:41 at Worlds, Runner-Up European XC).
That is so smart that Keith qualified via XC. Would she get to go though? Not sure what their selection process is for 10k. I thought UKA was denying runners based on not having the standard.
That's a difficult question. UKA plays fast and loose with its selection criteria. If she ran sub 31 at The Ten, then they could choose to send her as it would represent a development opportunity for a young talent. And it wouldn't be beyond the realms of imagination to think she could get top-8 since often, the Kenyan and Ethiopian runners just jog it home if they know they can't medal. Jess Warner-Judd ended up 8th in Budapest but certainly didn't go into the race as a top-10 seed.
On Keith's side is that there are unlikely to be more than three women that qualify (McColgan has the standard, Judd will probably get it, and Keith is qualified via XC rankings). So if they do send her, they aren't denying a place to another qualified athlete. And UKA has previously favoured sending younger athletes with some promise e.g. selecting Issy Boffey ahead of Alex Bell in the 800 last year.
That's a difficult question. UKA plays fast and loose with its selection criteria. If she ran sub 31 at The Ten, then they could choose to send her as it would represent a development opportunity for a young talent. And it wouldn't be beyond the realms of imagination to think she could get top-8 since often, the Kenyan and Ethiopian runners just jog it home if they know they can't medal. Jess Warner-Judd ended up 8th in Budapest but certainly didn't go into the race as a top-10 seed.
On Keith's side is that there are unlikely to be more than three women that qualify (McColgan has the standard, Judd will probably get it, and Keith is qualified via XC rankings). So if they do send her, they aren't denying a place to another qualified athlete. And UKA has previously favoured sending younger athletes with some promise e.g. selecting Issy Boffey ahead of Alex Bell in the 800 last year.
Just based on how they're doing things...she'd be probably a lock to get in with the standard. If she didn't, but runs sub-31 it's probably 80-20. But it would be a 0% chance if she was over the age of 30 let's say. Because she's so young and has some strong European results, I think she'd get it especially if she runs well at European Champs (medal or top 5).
Your lack of focus on Weini Kelati in the article is surprising. Shes in remarkable form currently and using the conversion calculator you used for Tsigie Gebreselama, her American half marathon record converts to 30:00 or just slightly under. She could very well decide to take a shot at the American record but at the very least expect her to be someone who gets the autoqualifier. Monson didn't seem too happy about her 2 mile time a month ago so unless it was an off race or in heavy training, she might be taking on too much with the pace.
Monson had a very good 2 mile at Millrose running 9:09 for the AR. But 29:37 is another level beyond that. So I'll be interested to hear after the race how they got to that number based on I assume some solid workouts between then and now.
Monson had a very good 2 mile at Millrose running 9:09 for the AR. But 29:37 is another level beyond that. So I'll be interested to hear after the race how they got to that number based on I assume some solid workouts between then and now.
Do remember she said she had a tough bout of COVID in the beginning of the year and was not at full fitness for Millrose. Also, the ON group seemed to be training through more this year than past years.
It's so annoying that it's on FloTrack. Hasn't it been pay-per-view in previous years where you could pay to watch it in a one-off?
It was pay per view last year...but to get the right status to count appropriately in world rankings or something they needed a certain amount of guaranteed prize money...only way to get that was to partner with FloTrack
I'm glad to hear at least that there was a non-greedy reason they chose to air on FloTrack this year.