Probably no one can beat him on his best day but cmon son 95/5? His NXRSW was not a CR. He could lose to Fast Horse, who has run more or less equivalent to Colin Sahlman and Nico at Clovis.
Nope.
Cole Sprout ran his record NXRSW 14:39 at the pancake flat Casa Grande course in perfect conditions.
Simmons' 14:41 was run on a much slower course(Coyote run and Casa Grande aren't even in the same stratosphere), in terrible conditions. That mud was ridiculous and it was incredibly muggy.
People who look at raw times on milesplit without knowing anything about the course or conditions drive me crazy.
Well I watched the race and of course knew it was muddy. But didn’t realize it was a different golf course than they used to run. Is Desert Twilight at the old course or the new one, then?
Except for the fact that you don't realize that Simmons is a super smart racer. No matter what he will be in contention. What Leo and Lex did was beyond stupid. He will race smart while other guys will go out in 4:30 and blow up just like last year. If you watch the NXN race, you almost never see him until the finish in which he took second. Casey Clinger (also from AF) also used this strategy and won twice against guys that made foolish moves on each other and then he kicked their butts in the last 400m. He will be right their no matter what, and his kick is almost impossible to beat.
This conversation is funny. Kids are still developing and emerging at this age and the existence of one great runner does not preclude the other elites from taking the next step up.
As the clear favorite, I’d still put the odds like this even if Danny has a great day.
Simmons 50% Neil 10% Fast Horse 10% Noonan 5% Griffith 5%
The field 20%
After all the NXR races are in:
Simmons 40% Grevious 15% Noonan 10% Neil 10% Field 25%
follow up to earlier post: at nxr McGinn had huge lead at 2.5k and looked to be on cruise control to finish. Should be capable of faster time. Simmons better watch out if McGinn gets a lead early on.
follow up to earlier post: at nxr McGinn had huge lead at 2.5k and looked to be on cruise control to finish. Should be capable of faster time. Simmons better watch out if McGinn gets a lead early on.
You must be smoking something excellent. I'm a ny fan, but unless McGinn has been hiding 30 seconds, he'll be about 20th. Simmons and Noonan are 8:40 2 milers.
Can Daniel Simmons, the defending Gatorade National Runner of the Year and the favorite to win NXN this season, possible be defeated?
Favorite to win? Yes.
Possible to be defeated? Yes. No one is ever a lock.
And people need to remember that in 2017 and 2018 Tuohy won handily, and in 2019 she was again favorite to win but she had 2 girls trailing her at the end
He didn’t take any wrong turn. Would i say he is a favorite yes. It is not open and close that he blows away everyone away though. In fact he won’t attempt to lead the race until after 2k.
This running strategy doesn’t work in those conditions and narrow course.
I follow the NY xc scene. McGinn (FM) should be on the list of fringe contenders. He’s easily won every race he’s been in all season, including mcquaid invite and state champs. Don’t know much about the Nxn course but if it has some hills I would not be surprised if he ended up top 5.