maybe he wants the record and the gold. Those are two different things. I was not very inspired with the Olympic Gold 3:52.
maybe he wants the record and the gold. Those are two different things. I was not very inspired with the Olympic Gold 3:52.
The Dirty Duck wrote:
He's in most people's medal conversations now. We already knew that he's not allowed in yours unless he runs a fast time in a rabbited race.
There is literally 0 chance Centro will win or even medal. Even if he runs a 3:47 TT that is not gonna convert to a medal. I personally think he maybe could barely crack 3:50 in TT.
Medals will go as follows:
Tim
Jakob
Kerr.
Then the battle will be open for McSweyn, Lewandowski, Simotwo and Hocker.
After that we will see Lemi, Nuguse, Kipsang, Centro and Fontes.
Sopa de SabadelI wrote:
The Dirty Duck wrote:
He's in most people's medal conversations now. We already knew that he's not allowed in yours unless he runs a fast time in a rabbited race.
There is literally 0 chance Centro will win or even medal. Even if he runs a 3:47 TT that is not gonna convert to a medal. I personally think he maybe could barely crack 3:50 in TT.
Medals will go as follows:
Tim
Jakob
Kerr.
Then the battle will be open for McSweyn, Lewandowski, Simotwo and Hocker.
After that we will see Lemi, Nuguse, Kipsang, Centro and Fontes.
Zero chance??? He only had a 3:35-3:36 PR the last Oly go arounds and he did just fine.. 4th in 2012, Gold in 2016...assuming that a GOLD medal is acceptable.
RACING is Centro's game... not time trials, but it is finally nice to see him TT :)
Sopa de SabadelI wrote:
The Dirty Duck wrote:
He's in most people's medal conversations now. We already knew that he's not allowed in yours unless he runs a fast time in a rabbited race.
There is literally 0 chance Centro will win or even medal. Even if he runs a 3:47 TT that is not gonna convert to a medal. I personally think he maybe could barely crack 3:50 in TT.
Medals will go as follows:
Tim
Jakob
Kerr.
Then the battle will be open for McSweyn, Lewandowski, Simotwo and Hocker.
After that we will see Lemi, Nuguse, Kipsang, Centro and Fontes.
you have zero chance of being right Soapa de Ropefell
Swedish Pride wrote:
And Webb's AR converts to 3:30 flat, so it's actually kinda soft, in today's standards.
true, but people were pretty excited about the diamond league race won in 348 recently and most people predicted sub 347 for jakob before dropping out (basically the mark centro would be going for). either way im pretty excited for this. as i said earlier i would be pretty surprised if he broke the record, but think the WL should be doable and raise the stock of all the US guys since they havent run a time trial race this year (except cole indoor from a long time ago that was good enough for top 10 all time)
Kobbs Hessler wrote:
Putting the odds on this:
AR - 1%
3:47 - 4%
3:48 - 15%
3:49 - 30%
3:50+ - 50%
AR - 10%
3:47 - 15%
3:48 - 50%
3:49 - 15%
3:50+ - 10%
Honestly this is pretty cool. Gives us something to talk about...
runnint wrote:
Zero chance??? He only had a 3:35-3:36 PR the last Oly go arounds and he did just fine.. 4th in 2012, Gold in 2016...assuming that a GOLD medal is acceptable.
RACING is Centro's game... not time trials, but it is finally nice to see him TT :)
Again, he has 0 chance. 2016 was one thing, but now it's a different game with different players 5 years later.
Previous achievements mean nothing. Filip Ingebrigtsen took bronze at the WC in 2017, but he has 0 chance to medal in Tokyo, same goes for Centro.
This year there are just too many runners that either will run a better TT or have a better kick.
the conditions def dont look ideal tho. unlike other WR attempts there isnt time to just push it off to another day so excuses incoming?
te5n1k wrote:
the conditions def dont look ideal tho. unlike other WR attempts there isnt time to just push it off to another day so excuses incoming?
or NR...whatever
World of Wet Pets?
LappedMiler wrote:
The wind prediction for this evening is 7 to 9 mph from the north-northwest, according to the National Weather Service. Here's the track, from google maps:
https://www.google.com/maps/@45.4850421,-122.7670864,233m/data=!3m1!1e3The straightaways are pretty much due east-west, so even if a breeze from the NNW is a noticeable, it won't be in the runners' faces much.
Still, 7 to 9 isn't perfectly calm, so it could eat into any attempt to set a record.
But the conditions overall do seem pretty good.
michimanx wrote:
Kobbs Hessler wrote:
Putting the odds on this:
AR - 1%
3:47 - 4%
3:48 - 15%
3:49 - 30%
3:50+ - 50%
AR - 10%
3:47 - 15%
3:48 - 50%
3:49 - 15%
3:50+ - 10%
He's not a 3:30 guy anymore. In 2015-2016 I would say he had a good chance.
With the conditions and TT nature of this race....100% over 3:50.
Alan
LOL, I did post that before I read the posts about the weather. Still holding out hope for 3:49.5 or better.
Runningart2004 wrote:
AR - 10%
3:47 - 15%
3:48 - 50%
3:49 - 15%
3:50+ - 10%
He's not a 3:30 guy anymore. In 2015-2016 I would say he had a good chance.
With the conditions and TT nature of this race....100% over 3:50.
Alan
[quote]michimanx wrote:
LOL, I did post that before I read the posts about the weather. Still holding out hope for 3:49.5 or better.
/quote]
Realistically, it is nice for him to earn another attractive PR from breaking 3:50.
I do not think anything else is possible.
sub 1:45
sub 3:50
3:30
13:00
prs to retire on.
te5n1k wrote:
the conditions def dont look ideal tho. unlike other WR attempts there isnt time to just push it off to another day so excuses incoming?
Oh, a little wind. How many times did Jim Ryun bail on a race because of a breeze? Or Pre for that matter?
prediction from the magic eightball...
Mile = 3:47.88
Link to watch?
nvm here it is
sure, but today all WR attempts are usually under perfect conditions with some sort of pacing like cheptegei in monaco. then he cant even podium in the 5/10 at diamond league races.