Study finds death toll vastly underreported.
Study finds death toll vastly underreported.
Entirely believable. Russia, for one, has been "doctoring" the stats.
It didn't have the study but I'm calling BS on some of the things in that article. I can totally believe that COVID deaths are undercounted outside of the US where they don't have the resources to test everyone. Or in authoritarian nations like Russia who have reasons to cover up things.
But there is zero evidence to support their assertion that Covid has killed over 900K people in the US. This is nonsense. There is no data from either excess deaths or any other metric to support anything near this. We have been obsessed with every Covid death, and assigning Covid to the cause of death for everything possible in the US since March 2020. There are not 350K Covid deathes in the US we somehow missed, this is absolutely absurd.
900k seems too high. There is great evidence that excess deaths closely track COVID outbreaks in the USA.
Raw tabulation of COVID deaths without considering excess deaths may be of value to epidemiologists but I don't think it's particularly meaningful to the general public.
I've wondered about Florida's numbers for some time. I live in CA and we've had on average about 1/2-2/3 the new cases daily as FL in the past 6 weeks, and in that same time period we've had more deaths per day almost every single day.. and usually it's not very close. I question whether FL is being honest w/ their numbers.
Several states in the SE were in a world of hurt about one year ago, and somehow did not have skyrocketing numbers of deaths.
Corona High 2021 wrote:
I've wondered about Florida's numbers for some time. I live in CA and we've had on average about 1/2-2/3 the new cases daily as FL in the past 6 weeks, and in that same time period we've had more deaths per day almost every single day.. and usually it's not very close. I question whether FL is being honest w/ their numbers.
Excess death data confirms Florida isn't cooking their books. You could check the age distribution of cases, that often explains the difference.
Yeah, 900k implies that Covid mitigation efforts also reduced non-Covid deaths by around 450k. That seems highly unlikely. I also agree that the likelihood is much higher of undercounting India, Brazil, and Mexico for instance.
I don't know what COVID numbers to trust these days. There are so many crazy pre-pub studies and what seems like junk science.
That said, I agree with what you've written. Makes sense. And there's this from the CDC:
Using more recent data from the National Vital Statistics System (NVSS), CDC estimated that 545,600–660,200 excess deaths occurred in the United States during January 26, 2020–February 27, 2021.
That sounds very close to our official COVID deaths. Seems very implausible that there were actually 900K+.
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