Coach watching wrote:
Pretty much right on. 44.4, 19.9, 10.0
I could see him getting to around 10.05 "basic" +/- a couple hundreths as a 100 guy by the end of outdoor. So that means he could theoretically max out, with a perfect wind (+2.0), at a wind legal 9.97/9.93 depending on which end of the +/- he gets on. Give him a modest +1.0ish wind and he might still be breaking the 10 barrier, maybe. Get him to altitude and maybe he could theoretically squeeze out another hundredth or two here and there.
If he's gets capable of 10.05 basic the way I suspect he will, then he's going to have access to sub 20 ability over 200 for sure, particularly when he peaks. Though I don't see him blowing the doors off the distance quite yet. But in a PERFECT scenario with good comp., enough on the line (a title bid/Olympic berth/etc.), while healthy and peaked, and really good weather, then maybe he could threaten a 19.90 in that circumstance. More than likely, though, he'll end up in the 20.08/19.98 range.
I'm less certain of where his 400 is going, but certainly a 44.5x would be within his range this year. But some of that depends on what he's really reaching for this year. Does he want to chase the 100 more, RIGHT now? Then maybe he only ends up with a 44 high on the books this year.
Its gin a be interesting to see if he can stay healthy, patient, and focused.