Bower Man wrote:
If she suddenly starts losing to runners like Simpson, Muir, DeBus-Stafford, other elites with lesser prs that up to now she has regularly beaten, then the ongoing thesis that Jerry's less-is-more racing philosophy could be substantiated.
At this point, though, specifically regarding Shelby, there are no facts to support this argument.
I would have expected Houlihan to beat Tsegay (they had basically identical 1500m PBs before). (OTOH she had the good luck that Muir was not in her best shape after injury and Genzebe not present at all.) But Tsegay really had the race of her life in Doha and the fast early tempo played into her hands. (Look at how Tsegay fared in the Zurich DL, faded into "also ran" after a slow 250m in the middle and a fast las lap). In 2018 Shelby lost a few races she might have won with optimal tactics but it was always close and overall she raced well. Also Schweizer did get a huge PB and probably the best possible result in Doha. However, I think one could make the case with a few other BTC runners that they would profit from more races. Frerichs underperformed in Doha, it should have been at least close between her, Kiyeng and Krause for bronze, but really wasn't. Quigley couldn't race at all and cases like Kincaid seem miscalculations in season planning with a huge PB in a time trial but missing Doha.