Justyn Knight is the Heavy Favorite over Grant Fisher at NCAA XC, Ednah Kurgat Over Schweizzer

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by LetsRun.com
November 17, 2017

Update: 11:09pm 11/17

Voting is still open in the $200,017 NCAA Running Warehouse NCAA XC Prediction Contest, but we’ve crunched the first set of votes from the contest and the LetsRun.com faithful expect some barn burner of races at the NCAA Cross Country Championships in Louisville, Kentucky.

On the men’s side, making sense of the voting is pretty easy. Justyn Knight of Syracuse is the big favorite to win the individual crown over Stanford’s Grant Fisher, while Northern Arizona is the slightest of  favorites to retain its team crown over BYU.

On the women’s side, the voting is a bit more complicated. More people think Ednah Kurgat of New Mexico will win the women’s crown than defending champ Karissa Schweizer of Missouri, but Schweizer got more points in voting (that means some people think Kurgat will completely bomb in the race or people left her off the voting). Similarly in the team voting, more people think New Mexico will win the NCAA title than Colorado, but Colorado got more points in the voting than New Mexico, meaning some of you think New Mexico’s 5th runner is going to struggle and New Mexico might slip down the standings out of the top two.

Update: On the women’s side, Ednah Kurgat of New Mexico is the slight favorite over defending champ Karissa Schweizer of Missouri, and the New Mexico women are slight favorites over Colorado.

Detailed vote tallies below:

LetsRun.com Men’s Super Poll Results
1.Northern Arizona (258)5066
2.BYU (256)5054
3.Syracuse (19)3794
4.Stanford (3)3223
5.Portland (1)3058
6.Colorado (4)2950
7.Furman1298
8.Colorado St.864
9.Oregon (1)760
10.Arkansas741
11.Michigan487
12.Southern Utah338
13.Alabama320
14.Oklahoma State258
15.Virginia Tech246
16.Iowa State234
17.Washington221
18.Iona215
19.Michigan State135
20.Ole Miss104

Others receiving votes: 21. Boise State 70 22. Texas 66 23. UCLA 65 24. Air Force 64 25. Utah State 60 26. NC State 60 27. Mid. Tenn. State 52 28. Princeton 49 29. Navy 31 30. Virginia 26 31. Washington St. 11

LRC Comment: As exepcted a tight two team battle between NAU and BYU.

Men’s Individual Poll
1.Justyn Knight (369) – Syracuse4596
2.Grant Fisher (73) – Stanford3892
3.Rory Linkletter (3) – BYU2439
4.Vincent Kiprop (14) – Alabama2017
5.Gilbert Kigen (9) – Alabama1848
6.Joe Klecker – Colorado1553
7.Alfred Chelanga (4) – Alabama1280
8.Matthew Baxter (1) – Northern Arizona1043
9.Tyler Day – Northern Arizona973
10.Jacob Choge (1) – Mid. Tenn. State900
11.Emmanuel Rotich (4) – Tulane825
12.Andy Trouard – Northern Arizona742
13.Casey Clinger (2) – BYU451
14.Connor McMillan – BYU380
15.Amon Kemboi – Campbell369
16.Emmanuel Roudolff-Levisse (2) – Portland283
17.Grant Fischer (2) – Colorado St.279
18.Colin Bennie – Syracuse261
19.Ben Flanagan – Michigan242
20.Jonathan Green (1) – Georgetown219
Others receiving votes: 21. Lawrence Kipkoech (Campbell) 158 22. Jerrell Mock (Colorado St.) 155 23. Hassan Abdi (Oklahoma State) 154 24. Clayton Young (BYU) 152 25. Jack Bruce (Arkansas) 142 26. Josh Kerr (New Mexico) 135 27. Jonathan Davis (Illinois) 131 28. Dillon Maggard (Utah State) 88 29. Jeff Thies (Portland) 81 30. Oliver Hoare (Wisconsin) 76 31. Alex George (Arkansas) 66 32. Edwin Kurgat (Tennessee-Martin) 63 33. Kigen Chemadi (Mid. Tenn. State) 55 34. Azaria Kirwa (Liberty) 52 35. Zach Perrin (Colorado) 46 36. Other () 46 37. Ben Veatch (Indiana) 37 38. Colby Gilbert (Washington) 33 39. Aidan Tooker (Syracuse) 33 40. Casey Comber (Villanova) 32 41. Tanner Anderson (Oregon) 29 42. Nick Hauger (Portland) 29 43. Brian Barraza (Houston) 27 44. Aaron Templeton (Furman) 25 45. Andrew Gardner (Washington) 23 46. Joe Hardy (Wisconsin) 23 47. Hlynur Andresson (Eastern Michigan) 23 48. Austen Dalquist (Arkansas) 19 49. Dan Curts (Iowa State) 19 50. Paul Hogan (UMass Lowell) 18 51. Conor Lundy (Princeton) 15 52. Andrew Jordan (Iowa State) 15 53. Johannes Motschmann (Iona) 14 54. Steven Fahy (Stanford) 13 55. Brent Demarest (Virginia) 13 56. Arsène Guillorel (Samford) 13 57. Bryce Miller (UMKC) 13 58. Philo Germano (Syracuse) 13 59. Mickey Davey (Air Force) 11 60. Sean Tobin (Ole Miss) 11 61. Andy Snyder (Washington) 8 62. Miler Haller (Boise State) 8 63. Clark Ruiz (Michigan State) 8 64. Lachlan Cook (Virginia) 8 65. Christian Farris (Texas A&M) 8 66. Timothy McGowan (Penn State) 7 67. Patrick Reilly (Lehigh) 7 68. Jon Bishop (Texas A&M) 7 69. Connor Mora (Michigan) 6 70. Nahom Solomon (Georgia Tech) 6 71. Andrew Marston (Villanova) 5 72. Paul Luevano (Boston U.) 4 73. Alex Rogers (Texas) 3 74. Nadeel Wildschutt (Coastal Carolina) 2 75. Taylor FloydMews (Bradley) 2 76. Troy Reeder (Furman) 2 77. Swarnjit Boyal (Cal Poly) 1
LetsRun.com Men’s NCAA Picks
Justyn Knight75.6 %
Grant Fisher15.2 %
Vincent Kiprop2.9 %
Gilbert Kigen1.8 %
Alfred Chelanga0.8 %
Emmanuel Rotich0.8 %
Rory Linkletter0.6 %
Casey Clinger0.4 %
Emmanuel Roudolff-Levisse0.4 %
Grant Fischer0.4 %
Others1 %

LRC Comment: Justyn Knight is the bigger favorite than we thought he’d be.

Knight has only lost one cross country race since the start of 2016

Knight has only lost one cross country race since the start of 2016

 

LetsRun.com Women’s Super Poll Results
1.New Mexico (250)4680
2.Colorado (219)4662
3.Oregon (18)3539
4.San Francisco (26)3518
5.Stanford (3)2952
6.NC State (1)1827
7.Arkansas (3)1695
8.Michigan1479
9.Providence (1)865
10.Boise State724
11.Furman429
12.Penn State325
13.Villanova321
14.BYU (1)255
15.Michigan State (1)233
16.Iowa State (2)224
17.Washington185
18.Wisconsin159
19.California109
20.Oklahoma State109

Others receiving votes: 21. Syracuse 85 22. Utah State 85 23. Minnesota 72 24. Ole Miss 59 25. Columbia 52 26. Indiana 49 27. Georgia 46 28. Dartmouth 37 29. Texas 35 30. Eastern Kentucky 34 31. Eastern Michigan 31

LRC Comment: New Mexico now leads in first place votes and total points.

Women’s Individual Poll
1.Ednah Kurgat (214) – New Mexico3685
2.Karissa Schweizer (136) – Missouri3664
3.Elinor Purrier (40) – New Hampshire2787
4.Allie Ostrander (19) – Boise State2418
5.Charlotte Taylor (7) – San Francisco2174
6.Dani Jones (15) – Colorado2097
7.Katie Rainsberger (4) – Oregon1808
8.Alice Wright (2) – New Mexico668
9.Grayson Murphy (1) – Utah631
10.Weini Kelati – New Mexico600
11.Sharon Lokedi (1) – Kansas366
12.Amy-Eloise Neale – Washington298
13.Katherine Receveur – Indiana253
14.Caroline Sang (1) – Charlotte243
15.Weronika Pyzik – San Francisco237
16.Charlotte Prouse – New Mexico235
17.Allie Buchalski – Furman232
18.Elise Cranny – Stanford172
19.Paige Stoner – Syracuse151
20.Bella Burda – Villanova150
Others receiving votes: 21. Nikki Hiltz (Arkansas) 142 22. Samantha Drop (Georgia) 141 23. Karisa Nelson (Samford) 108 24. Other () 84 25. Gina Sereno (Michigan) 78 26. Vanessa Fraser (Stanford) 73 27. Taylor Werner (Arkansas) 63 28. Makena Morley (Colorado) 59 29. Bethan Knights (California) 58 30. Winny Koech (UTEP) 49 31. Catarina Rocha (Providence) 46 32. Sarah Disanza (Wisconsin) 45 33. Carina Viljoen (Arkansas) 40 34. Jessica Drop (Georgia) 33 35. Isabelle Brauer (San Francisco) 33 36. Alison Willingmyre (Penn State) 31 37. Purity Sanga (Tennessee Tech) 28 38. Lilli Burdon (Oregon) 26 39. Brenda Kigen (Auburn) 23 40. Paige Gilchrist (Northern Arizona) 23 41. Shelby Brown (Ole Miss) 22 42. Christine Bendzinski (Bucknell) 22 43. Brianna Ilarda (Providence) 21 44. Jamie Morrissey (Michigan) 21 45. Alexandra Lucki (Maryland) 21 46. Aubrey Roberts (Northwestern) 19 47. Gabrielle Forrest (Princeton) 19 48. Alexandria Hackett (Abilene Christian) 19 49. Laura Young (BYU) 18 50. Dominique Clairmonte (North Carolina St.) 18 51. Bethany Hasz (Minnesota) 17 52. Anna West (Baylor) 15 53. Heather MacLean (UMass Amherst) 14 54. Therese Haiss (Arkansas) 14 55. Maggie Farrell (Michigan State) 13 56. Charlotte Imer (Eastern Kentucky) 13 57. Egle Morenaite (Iona) 12 58. Bethlehem Taye (North Carolina St.) 11 59. Eden Meyer (North Florida) 10 60. Shannon Malone (Syracuse) 10 61. Greta Lindsley (Penn State) 10 62. Danae Rivers (Penn State) 9 63. Cailie Logue (Iowa State) 8 64. Jordann McDermitt (Eastern Michigan) 7 65. Jenica Dodge (Idaho State) 7 66. Dorcas Wasike (Louisville) 7 67. Jeralyn Poe (Michigan State) 6 68. Jaci Smith (Air Force) 6 69. Erin Gregoire (Columbia) 5 70. Megan Hasz (Minnesota) 5 71. Martha MacDonald (Georgetown) 5 72. Frances Schmiede (Virginia) 4 73. Jillian Hunsberger (Penn State) 3 74. Lindsey Bradley (Baylor) 3 75. Elly Henes (North Carolina St.) 3 76. Madeline Strandemo (Minnesota) 2 77. Michaela Hackett (Abilene Christian) 2 78. Hannah Miller (SMU) 2
LetsRun.com Women’s NCAA Picks
Ednah Kurgat48.1 %
Karissa Schweizer30.6 %
Elinor Purrier8.9 %
Allie Ostrander4.3 %
Dani Jones3.4 %
Charlotte Taylor1.6 %
Katie Rainsberger0.9 %
Alice Wright0.4 %
Samantha Drop0.2 %
Grayson Murphy0.2 %
Others1.3 %

LRC Comment: Kurgat is your favorite.


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