2017 USA Indoors Preview, 2-Mile: Olympic Silver Medallist Paul Chelimo Takes On World Indoor Silver Medallist Ryan Hill

  • submit to reddit

By LetsRun.com
March 2, 2017

For the pros, this weekend represents the end of the 2017 indoor track and field season (the collegians wrap up a week later at NCAA Indoors). With no World Indoor Championships to qualify for, the fields aren’t as loaded as 2016, but there will be plenty of star power in Albuquerque: Cas LoxsomDonavan BrazierClayton MurphyRobby AndrewsBen BlankenshipEvan JagerPaul Chelimo, Ajee WilsonCharlene LipseyShelby HoulihanColleen Quigley are among the big names taking part.

We give you the need-to-know details about U.S. Indoors below before taking a closer look at the 2-miles below. We’ve previewed the 600, 1k and mile already:

LRC Mile Preview: Ben Blankenship & Kyle Merber Battle For Their First National Title; BTC’s Shelby Houlihan & Colleen Quigley Lead Women’s Field

LRC 1,000m Preview: Clayton Murphy Takes On Robby Andrews; Breakout Star Charlene Lipsey Favored In Women’s Race

LRC 600m Preview: What A Clash – Ajee Wilson Vs. Courtney Okolo Headlines Women’s Field As World Record Holder Cas Loxsom Headlines Men’s Field

What: 2017 USATF Indoor Championships

When: March 3-5, 2017

Where: Albuquerque Convention Center, Albuquerque, N.M.

How to watch: The entire meet is live on USATF.TV +PLUS (requires subscription), except for the final two hours on Sunday (5:30 p.m. ET to 7:30 p.m. ET), which will be shown live on NBC Sports Network. NBC Sports Network will also air tape-delayed coverage of Saturday’s events from 10:30 p.m. to 12:30 a.m ET on Saturday night.

Other event previews: 600 * 1000 * Mile

Schedule * Entries * All LRC coverage * 2016 LRC coverage

Men’s 2-Mile (Saturday, 9:44 p.m. ET; straight final)

NamePBSBComment
Paul Chelimo7:39.00 (3k)7:42.39 (3k)Olympic silver medallist is 2-for-2 on his resolution to win every race in ’17
Caleb Hoover7:52.07 (3k)7:52.07 (3k)NAU grad has made big improvement over 3k since joining Furman Elite
Daniel Winn7:52.27 (3k)7:52.27 (3k)7th and 8th at last 2 US Outdoor Champs in 1500
Brian Shrader8:35.457:54.05 (3k)NAU grad was 11th in 2-mile at Millrose
Collin Leibold7:54.34 (3k)7:54.34 (3k)Georgetown grad ran 7:54 at UW on 2/11 in only race of ’17
Tabor Stevens7:54.62 (3k)7:54.62 (3k)Former DII stud/8:26 steepler
Woody Kincaid7:48.897:54.84 (3k)Portland grad now running for BTC lowered 5k pb by 15 secs to 13:12 last weekend
Riley Masters8:37.267:55.05 (3k)Now training under Mark Wetmore in Boulder
Hillary Bor7:55.49 (3k)7:55.49 (3k)7th in Olympic steeple final last year
Brian Doyle7:58.40 (3k)7:58.40 (3k)7:58 at BU on 1/28 was big PR for Providence grad
Ryan Hill8:11.568:11.56Has won this race at USAs last two years; World Indoor silver in ’16
Garrett Heath8:19.618:19.616th in 2-mile at Millrose; also entered in mile
Ben Blankenship8:16.538:27.102nd in this race in ’15; 8th in Olympic 1500 last year; also entered in mile
Craig Lutz8:01.19 (3k)8:01.19 (3k)2016 US XC champ is on the shorter end of his range here
Jeremy Greenwald8:02.80 (3k)8:02.80 (3k)Has run 8:02 and 8:04 this year for 3k and 4:02 in the mile
Mason Ferlic7:55.03 (3k)13:42.32 (5k)7th at USA XC on 2/4, then 13:42 in Birmingham on 2/18
Hill has won this race the last two years at USA Indoors but faces his toughest test yet in 2017

Hill has won this race the last two years at USA Indoors but faces his toughest test yet in 2017

Chelimo vs. Hill made for a terrific race a year ago at USA Indoors, with Hill holding a hard-charging Chelimo off over the final 200 meters. Since then, both men have won silver medals (Hill at World Indoors, Chelimo at the Olympics) and have been running well this season, setting the stage for what could be an even better clash in Albuquerque on Saturday night.

As the Olympic silver medallist, Chelimo is going to be favored in most races he runs. He kicked off the year in Boston by telling us about his new year’s resolution to not lose any races in 2017, and so far he’s made good on that vow, stomping a loaded field in Boston to win in a world-leading 7:42.39 before heading to the Camel City Elite meet a week later and running 7:45 on a flat track. You can’t ask for much more from an athlete’s first two races.

Hill has also looked good in his two indoor meets as well, running 8:11.56 for two miles at Millrose and 13:07.61 for 5,000 last week in Boston, though he didn’t win either race — he was second to Ben True at Millrose and fourth in Boston behind Mo AhmedEric Jenkins and True. There’s no shame in that; the guys who beat Hill are all really good. The problem is, Chelimo is also really good and his kick is the best of the bunch. Hill has a tremendous kick in his own right, of course, and 3k/2 miles is his ideal distance — long enough to tire out the milers but short enough for Hill to still feel good kicking at the end of the race. We’re not ruling out a victory by Hill, but when you’re facing Chelimo, the bar is set very high. Chelimo’s 2017 indoor season has been better so far than his 2016 indoor season while Hill’s had been slightly worse. Considering Hill only beat Chelimo by .40 at USAs last year, that gives an edge to Chelimo.

Could anyone else steal it? Hill’s Bowerman Track Club teammate Woody Kincaid has an underrated kick and is coming off a big 13:12 5k PR last weekend, but Hill beat him by five seconds in that race and Hill’s advantage will only be magnified over 2 miles. Hillary Bor was an Olympic steeple finalist, but he lost to a bunch of college guys in his only track race of 2017; he’s not ready to challenge the likes of Chelimo and Hill. Ben Blankenship is the best threat to break them up. Though his first 2-mile of the year went poorly (8:27 at Millrose, 16 seconds behind Hill), he bounced back by running 3:36 FTW over 1500 in Birmingham, defeating fellow Olympic finalists Ryan Gregson and Nate Brannen in the process. As a strength-oriented 1500 runner, Blankenship is well-suited for the step up to two miles (he was second in this race two years ago), and if it turns into a sit-and-kick (which it may do at altitude), he could be dangerous.

LRC prediction: As the two-time defending champion, Hill won’t give up his crown without a fight, but Chelimo has been too good this year for us not to pick him. Chelimo FTW.

Women’s 2-Mile (Sunday, 6:37 p.m. ET; straight final)

NamePBSBComment
Heather Kampf8:51.27 (3k)8:51.27 (3k)4th in Wanamaker Mile; 4th at USA Indoors last year in 1500; doubling back from mile
Emily Lipari8:57.24 (3k)8:57.24 (3k)2014 NCAA mile champ was 9th at USA Indoors last year in 1500
Katie Mackey8:59.53 (3k)8:59.53 (3k)10th in Wanamaker Mile, then 13th in 3k in Birmingham
Sara Sutherland9:00.35 (3k)9:00.35 (3k)Won only race of 2017 — 3k at Camel City on 2/4
Katie McMenaminN/A15:51.12 (5k)NCAA DIII 1500 champ at Swarthmore last year
Rachel Schilkowsky9:16.70 (3k)15:58.50 (5k)Two-time Heps steeple champ at Cornell
Emily Oren9:15.58 (3k)9:15.58 (3k)Won 3k at BU Valentine on 2/10
Katrina Coogan9:01.16 (3k)9:16.14 (3k)Gtown grad anchored Hoyas to NCAA DMR title last year
Patricia Terry9:18.21 (3k)9:18.21 (3k)TCU grad ran 9:18 in her only race of ’17 on 1/28
Ayla Granados9:20.09 (3k)9:20.09 (3k)Former DII star at Chico State
Shelby Houlihan9:01.11 (3k)N/AOlympic 5k finalist coming off mile PR at BU on 2/10; doubling back from mile
Mackey en route to a Diamond League win in Stockholm in 2015

Mackey en route to a Diamond League win in Stockholm in 2015

This is one of the weaker fields in the distance portion of the meet, and the two best women on paper (Shelby Houlihan and Heather Kampf) will be doubling back from the mile the day before. That makes for a bit of a letdown in what will be the final distance event of the weekend.

Though we have a limited sample size on Houlihan, her only race — a 4:24.16 mile win at BU on February 10 — was very good. Even with the mile the day before, we expect Houlihan to come back and contend for the win here considering her chief competition (Kampf) is doing the same thing. There is one other woman we’ll be watching for: Katie Mackey, who came up one spot shy of making the Olympic team at 5,000 meters last summer. 3,000 meters may be Mackey’s best event (her outdoor PR is 8:46 and she actually won a Diamond League 3000 in 2015), so she should handle this 2-mile race pretty well. Her Wanamaker Mile performance (4:33, five seconds slower than her ’16 time) wasn’t great by her standards, but 8:59 isn’t bad for 3,000 meters and against this field it’s good enough to be in the mix to win.

Emily LipariSara Sutherland and Katrina Coogan have all run 9:01 or faster in their careers (Lipari and Sutherland did it earlier this year), but they haven’t shown anything to suggest they’d be capable of defeating Houlihan, even if Houlihan is tired. However, if Houlihan and/or Kampf scratches, they could find themselves in contention. Of the three, Lipari has the best kick, and she’ll have fond memories of this track — it’s where she won her lone NCAA title in the mile back in 2014. Lipari actually beat Houlihan in that race, but beating the new-and-improved Houlihan over double the distance would be a big upset.

LRC prediction: Even on tired legs, Houlihan is the class of this field. If she wins this and the mile on Saturday, she’ll join Shannon Rowbury (2015) and Jenny Simpson (2011 and 2012) as women to pull off the distance double at USAs in recent years.

 


Like LetsRun.com on Facebook!