Hello All-
I just signed up for my first marathon (in Frankfurt Germany, 10/29) and I have some questions. I am looking at doing the Hal Higdon training program (probably a mix between the advanced 1 and intermediate 2, depending how things go). Question 1 is what should be by goal time/pace, as this would be the pace for the second longest run. Here is my basic background
I am a 39 year old guy, 5'7, 160(am in the process of dropping a few pounds before my official training starts at the end of the month, hope to be around 150 or below at race time). I ran HS XC and track and was decent, but not a star (2 flat 800, and 17:03 XC PR, I was about 120 lbs my senior year, but put on a lot muscle in college)
Unfortunately I didn't run much in my 20s, but have been running 4-5 days a week for the past 6.5 years, although not always quality with the main goal to be happy and healthy. I have been living in various third world countries and haven't had too many race to choose from-I did a 1:32 half marathon in mid 2014, a 26:30 4 mile race that same year-was mixing some 800 m repeats and temp runs in prep for those races as well as sunday runs from 10-15 miles, but didnt adhere to a strict schedule). My wife had a baby last year, so I have been running, but less quality, mostly in the 730-8 minute pace, no real intervals or LT Most recently here in Kosovo, over the winter from Dec-Feb, I was running on the treadmill due to air quality issues and cross training/some weights, probably only 15 miles/week, late Feb-April increased to 20-30 miles a week (still in the 720-8 min pace, some hills but no intervals/LT) I did a brutal mid day, hilly, hot, unshaded half in mid May, starting off ok doing first 5 km in 22:30, 10 km in 47 and then bonked in the heat/uphill and suffered in at 146 in the most painful way possible to run avg 8:03 pace, have done training runs faster) I have been adding to my base and running an avg of 35 miles/week since then and to signed up for the Frankfurt marathon which is flat, fast, with a nice cool climate.
I'd like to follow this program (which includes either tempo or intervals every week as well as a second longest run at marathon pace) pretty strictly and see how my body responds to decent training.
http://www.halhigdon.com/training/51141/Marathon-Advanced-1-Training-Program
So based on all this info, what time should I target/what pace do I do my marathon pace runs? My training area is varies from gently rolling to quite hilly. I am thinking of 3:20 (7:38 pace) as an attainable, but somewhat challenging goal, or should I shoot for lower, especially if I can get a little closer to my high school weight and follow a good training program. I welcome all advice!