Bad Wigins wrote:
By blocking most of its population from exposure to the virus, Norway is still susceptible and will merely face another wave. By letting it run its course, the Swedes are ensuring they'll be done with it for good within a month. More may be dying now, but the Norsks will catch up later, and they'll have a devastated economy, perhaps twice over if they haven't wised up by then.
This is the grotesquely comical truth in most of the locked-down areas. Unless their lockdowns fail, they're screwed next fall.
Do you have any idea what percentage of a population has to contract a disease before herd immunity kicks in? It's not 2600%. It's not 2%. It's 60%. That means 3,200,000 Norwegians would have to be infected in short order for herd immunity to be infected. That means 320,000-480,000 Norwegians would require hospitalization. (And remember: a "mild" case means feeling like absolute death for 2 weeks, but still being able to breathe on your own.) And 15,000-60,000 Norwegians would die.
That's an insanely horrible plan that would devastate the country even worse than a month-long lockdown, which is why no sane nation is doing that.