Sub 2:40 NYC Marathon: Is this a realistic Goal?

Training Advice/Discussion Marathon

4 years ago 10/21/2019 6:58pm EDT

What is a realistic goal for racing New York? I've only raced one marathon before and was completely out of shape. Here, I've trained since June running about 75-80 miles per week. During the cycle:

I've run a half in 1:13:30.

1 week ago 21 miles with 16@ 5:57 pace (flat) (6:05 average for the whole thing)

5 Mile repeats at 4:55 with 3 min rest.

15:33 5k

I know NYC course very well and while it's hilly I'm running upstate for most of this which is much hillier. I have very limited marathon experience and while I've done a bunch of runs over 20, the 21 miler is the only one I've done at close to what would be race effort. Is 2:37 a realistic goal?

Also, I have never really tapered for something like this before. last week I did about 80% (62 miles). What should I be looking at for the next week/race week? Any comments would be greatly appreciated.

4 years ago 10/21/2019 7:44pm EDT

re: Marathon Runner 2500 College

new york is not that hard...with stats like that, 2:37 would be my goal in new york. i ran 2:43 there off a 1:16 half.

4 years ago 10/21/2019 10:38pm EDT

re: uhlkjh

I ran a 2:39 high in NYC with far less impressive workouts than you have done. I couldn't even do the mile repeat workouts/ 5k time before I ran 2:29. As long as your long runs have gone well and you have decent endurance I'd imagine you could do ~2:33.

4 years ago 10/21/2019 11:43pm EDT

re: Marathon Runner 2500 College

I am aiming for an even 2:40 with the same half time as you but nowhere near that mile, 21 mile or 5km times as you. Id say you have a very good shot at 2:37.

4 years ago 10/22/2019 6:24am EDT

re: T-MAC100

That 5k is worth something more like 1:11/2:28. Was the 1:13 in the build on tired legs/is that your PR/did you feel like it was a true race? The sub-5 mile repeats are fast. The 16 @ a touch under 6-flat is what someone running 2:37ish could throw down. The marathon is tough so I'm saying sub-2:40 should definitely be the goal. I think you have the potential to even run 2:35ish or better in this one. Be prepared for the hills and you shouldn't have a problem. Maybe go out in 1:18-1:18:30 and try to open up after Queensboro. Be ready for the mile 23 climb. Gotta have something for the last 5k after that hill & the rollers through the park.

4 years ago 10/22/2019 7:10am EDT

re: Marathon Runner 2500 College

sub-2:40 no sweat if the weather is good and you don't run out of fuel. CRUSH IT!

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