Agreed that the depth of the California 3200m hasn't been the same in the past 2 years as it had been for the few years prior. I also think that the tactics of one or a few superior runners can throw a wrench into the race plans of runners who might have been capable of running faster. In this race, it began at a pace that was appropriate for a sub 9 effort for a large group of people as the leaders crossed through 400m in 67 and through 800m in 2:14. At that point, the pack behind them was large and probably finding a nice rhythm. But then Young dropped a 64 and people had to decide between keeping their rhythm and getting dropped early, or being competitive with the leaders. Some of the really good runners who had found mid-pack early positions countered with 63 second 3rd laps to stay close. Although it kept them in contention for the moment, most of those athletes could not survive lap 4, where Young also ran 64. Lap 5 cooled down a little bit as Young ran a 67, but then he returned the pace to 64 for lap 6. Even for a sub 9 minute guy, trying to run 4:20 from laps 3-6 with some inconsistent pacing is going to be enough to disrupt their race. Someone fit to run in the 8:57-8:59 range probably is going to fall short of that if they had taken a risk to go with the leaders. The same thing happened the year that German Fernandez won the state meet 3200m. I think only 2 guys broke 9:00 that year even though the talent coming in suggested that several more had the ability to do so. Meets like Arcadia are about time and pacing is usually pretty even. They set up for a huge number of people to get into their groove, click off even splits, and finish fast. Due to the quality of those fields, most athletes besides the absolute cream of the crop accept that they will not win and are much more focused on running a fast PR. At the state meet, people are trying to win, even if they aren't the person who is supposed to. They take risks in search of glory, which when they don't pan out will negatively affect their times. The bigger the difference between the top couple of athletes and the majority of the field, the more likely it is that the bulk of the field will underperform.