I am beginning to think maybe this talent bell curve being mentioned is quite a bit slower than 16:00 minutes for a 5k, at least for women. I’m nkt sure if you are talking about men and women or just men there seeing as only the fastest women in the world seem to be capable of under 16:00.
I don’t know of to consider my times talented or not, I think I fall in no man’s land where I can sprint faster to the average distance runner but not faster than a sprinter do distamce better than the average sprinter but not better than the average distance runner. I am guessing that by theory, this would make me more of a “Miler”. So assuming the “Mile” is my talent, yet again, I still fall short of the talent vs training bell curve (stated as going 5 or under, reffered to as a pedestrian time) despite 7 years of training, optimal body composition and weight and a slight genetic component granting me the gift of running this distance to come more naturally to me.
In my opinion, adding all lf this up, the curve is very different for different groups of people. If you are a bunch of athletic kids on a high school track, there is going to be a massive weed out of untalented people right there, as the people who have more talent choose to do more sport to build on what already came naturally, a 5 minute mile is probably going to be the 50th %. If you are talking about a group of people at a gym, with a more diverse pool of talent them it is almost definitely going to be in the top 5% as people with no talent are drawn to gyms to battle their health issues, look better to find a date, and are exercising for lots of other reasons (reasons that hugh school athletes dont have to worry about) than innate talent or running because it is natural for them to feel like doing it.
I remember when I was a kid, I wanted to run everywhere because it was fun, came naturally to me and I felt like I was effortlessly gliding when I ran. There is a mind-body connection to that, not everybody enjoys it when they run so you could argue that talented people have more pathways in their brain linking them to their running abilities. Everybody knows that intelligence is largely genetic and I suppose, in a way, running ability is also shaped by your brain structure. A person with a natural IQ of 90 could maybe study hard and raise his IQ to 95, somebody more talented with an IQ of 125 could study hard and raise his to genuis levels and I feel like a lot of people here have the running-ability-equivilent of a high IQ, where really fast to begin with and somehow seem to think that everybody should get at least somewhat good with training. I run a modest 21 minute 5k, but I have ran so hard in races before that I have actually wet myself, nobody can tell me I do not try hard enough, just the same as that dumb kid who studies all day and stays dumb, a lot of it is to do with the way your bodi is built on the inside.