rupp-certified saladbar, or shaken bravey syndrome? wrote:
Some people, like the fans that were interviewed with Jim Walmsley on a podcast recently, said that his YAWN 64:00 should be "impressive" because he is a long-run specialist: for example, he holds the course record at the "Western States" 100 mile race and also did this in an "off" event for him. They say it is amazing "range."
OK, let's look at this claim scientifically, by using math and equivalency tables.
13 miles is obviously about 13% of Walmsley's best distance, the 100-miler. So what would an elite marathoner have to do to be more "impressive" than Walmsley? Run a distance about 13% of THEIR specialty, in a more impressive time than his 64:00 half marathon.
For marathon specialists, what is their "off" event to look at? 5k is very very close to the same fraction. (5k is 11.8% of a marathon.)
And what is a comparable standard to a 64:00 half marathon? According to the DANIELS calculator, 13:57.
13:57 lolololol. Wow, do you think any elite marathoners can run 13:57? That would be such amazing range for a 2:01-2:04 runner to achieve that standard in an "off" event, that is just a small fraction of their best distance. NOT! Guess what? ANY MARATHONER WORTH MENTIONING COULD DO THIS.
So don't get excited that a distance runner comes down to a shorter event and runs SLOW. Of course they can run some so-so time in an "off" distance. Are we supposed to be impressed if David Rudisha ran 12.0? Whatever.