Tully Runners has long been an oasis of solid analysis of the data, in a desert of opinion. Good stuff.
Bill Meylan is a genius -- predicts F-M girls will lose NY state meet for 1st time in 13 years by 1 point -- and they do!
High School Running
Distance
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Wes Coze wrote:
He has a great handle on the NY scene for sure but really should stick to that because he doesn’t know jack about the west coast.
Back when my kids ran for Bozeman (Montana) Meylan’s analysis often recognized fairly early in the season that they were going to make it to NXN and do well. As he acknowledges, his method is hungry for data to anchor the curve, but it does quite well even for courses he’s never seen. In NY where he has a ton of data, it’s even better, true.
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runn wrote:
I coached for 18 years in NY. Those speed rating s are awesome.
Kids identify themselves by their SR number.
One of my runners once found a fantasy cross-country league using NY runners and their weekly speed ratings!
That was on the old Dyestate message boards I believe. There was great fun in finding the strategic balance between picking a better runner on a team that didn't race as much vs. a slower runner on a top flight team who you knew would be racing late in the season. Great fun!
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And yet some people complain about his rankings. He puts the best rankings / predictions out there
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A broken clock is right twice a day
Way to resurrect a 4 year old thread just in time!!
his rankings are old and tired…please
if anyone different came along it’s game over
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Username777 wrote:
A broken clock is right twice a day
Way to resurrect a 4 year old thread just in time!!
his rankings are old and tired…please
if anyone different came along it’s game over
All good things must come to an end.
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Username777 wrote:
A broken clock is right twice a day
Way to resurrect a 4 year old thread just in time!!
his rankings are old and tired…please
if anyone different came along it’s game over
Think Meylan’s rankings are old and tired?
Try Dyestat rankings.
In 2022 a guy was ranked 78th nationally in the Dyestat early season rankings even though he hasn’t broken 16 or 4:29 beforehand.10
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