Eluid Kipchoge Will Not Win the Olympic Marathon

I'd bet against Kipchoge winning. It's 2 years out and the Olympic Marathon can always be a crap shoot. No way would I consider anyone a 50% chance or better. I do still consider him the favorite.

For those saying the heat won't be a factor because of Rio, it's possible the conditions in Rio might be closer to those in Berlin on Sunday than they are to those of Tokyo 2020.

I agree. How can someone who does not exist win the Olympic marathon?

Nice catch. Eluid Kipchoge gets a surprising number of mentions on here, despite not existing. Eliud Kipchoge, on the other hand, will win in Tokyo unless he starts the race with a broken leg like Abebe Bikila in Mexico City. Actually, he might still win with one; two broken legs and I'll bet against him.

It was a cold clear day at lambeau field in Rio when Kipchoge stormed the frozen tundra...

In August, 1982, Salazar was going to win the 1984 Olympic Marathon. There was NO way the WR holder, the American record holder in the 10K and 5K, and the guy who'd proven he could run a marathon and win with a kick in the 'heat' after running a cold and rainy 10K a few days earlier would lose at LA.

And in August, 1982, Carlos Lopes had not yet run a marathon.

Okay, this is retarded.

Kipchoge has grown up in and trains in Kenya.

The average temperature in kenya during the day is 82 degrees.

The average humity is 62%.

But apparently Kipchoge can't handle hot humid weather...

That being said, while he will be the favorite, marathons can always go bad (Kipsang london 2012)

Flukey Kawauchi wrote:

Yuki will not make the Japanese team .

Considering he doesn't plan to run the trials I'd say that's pretty safe bet.

But Farah will be 37 years old in 2020? Maybe he'll feel his age then and start slowing down?

You have to take the field versus an individual, especially in what may be near triple digit temps. The race should be cut to 13.1 if over 80 at start.

Kenyans FTW wrote:

Okay, this is retarded.

Kipchoge has grown up in and trains in Kenya.

The average temperature in kenya during the day is 82 degrees.

The average humity is 62%.

The average temperature for an entire country during the day without any reference to season. What is the average temperature in the United States? Whatever it is, it's a meaningless statistic? If you want to make an argument based on average temperature, I think Eldoret would be more relevant.

epicTCK wrote:

If the conditions are truly to be 80+ and humid, Kipchoge will lose.

Making my prediction 2 years early.

He already won the Olympic Marathon in Rio, where it was in the low 70s with 92% humidity. I don’t think he’ll have a problem with the weather in Tokyo. With it being two years away, he may not win again, but I doubt it will be because of the weather conditions.

To be honest I don’t think it will be Mo , Kipchoge or Galen. Most likely will be some newbie to the marathon.

Runnergrl wrote:

To be honest I don’t think it will be Mo , Kipchoge or Galen. Most likely will be some newbie to the marathon.

PARKER MF STINSON 2020 OLYMPIC MARATHON CHAMPION

The OP probably imagines he's being clever or bold or something but honestly, there really is no point in trying to pick a 2020 Olympic marathon champion at this point.

That having been said, in time, even a guy like Kipchoge wears out.

Really Is No wrote:

The OP probably imagines he's being clever or bold or something but honestly, there really is no point in trying to pick a 2020 Olympic marathon champion at this point.

That having been said, in time, even a guy like Kipchoge wears out.

neither. Just making a fairly easy prediction, given that there is no way to tell what's going to happen at this point. The likelihood that he loses is high enough that it's worth making this thread 2 years early so that in the 20-30% chance that he loses, I can link this thread and bask in the received glory

Runnergrl wrote:

To be honest I don’t think it will be Mo , Kipchoge or Galen. Most likely will be some newbie to the marathon.

Runnergrl your right them 3 won't win. It will be Bekele. He always was the greatest. He is my favorite runner.

lol i didn't know he posted here wrote:

Jgfghh wrote:

What makes you think that hot weather conditions is extreme conditions for a 2:01:39 Kenyan guy??

Hey Eluid! How u doing today?

Ha! The thought that Kipchoge even knows Letsrun exists is hilarious - to think that he would respond is beyond comprehension. I can just imagine the conversation at the track in Iten... “Eliud, did you read about the speculation on Letsrun?... Let’s what? It’s a message board about running... shut up and work harder, who cares what a bunch of insecure, nobody, Americans thinks (actually he wouldn’t say this because he is too respectful, but he might think it...)

I would cut off my testicles if anyone could prove that Kipchoge has ever spent one second reading the drivel on Letsrun.