I'm glad to be alive and kicking. Thanks. It's interesting to me that again, despite my stated intention to talk statistics, and the OP's wish to not get into doping, you (and others) still want to turn a statistics thread into a doping thread. It seems to me the intellectual equivalent of a hammer looking at the screw and calling it a nail.Keeping it about statistics, as you must know from other threads, I find it statistically unlikely that, as early as 1988:- Selected East African nations, from Kenya and Ethiopia, obtained the medical knowledge, the funds, infrastructure, and sufficiently reliable electricity and refrigeration (to store their EPO and blood bags), to rapidly put in place a broadly comprehensive, deep, and highly effective, yet undetectable, EPO doping regime, lasting for two decades, the likes and scale of which has never been seen before or since, in any sport, for any drug, that in 1988, included the pool of the top 10 senior men, and 8 or 9 out of the top 10 or 11 juniors.- While for that year and for two decades afterwards -- before anti-doping landmarks like the ABP, and the 2nd generation EPO test finally (allegedly) defeated EPO doping East Africans (except the ones that turned to the marathon) -- elite athletes representing 85-90% of the global world population, from countries that actively competed and used to be competitive, that also possessed the same medical knowledge, more funds, better infrastructure, and more reliable electricity and refrigeration, struggled to produce more than a dozen or so runners in total, that would be competitive in 1985.- While athletes from these same non-African nations, started re-writing Tour de France history allegedly due to this same game-changing drug.When did East African dominance start? I gave statistics as early as 1988, but that was not meant to suggest the emergence of East African dominance. Sticking with World Cross Country, we can find evidence of East African domination emerging as far back as 1981, a period when the USA was strong and deep, with the likes of Porter, Virgin, Nenow, Salazar and "malmo", and others like Hunt, Eyestone, Anderson, Easker, Drenth, Bickford, Donakowski, etc. providing sufficient depth at the top to field a team of 6 to 10 runners:- In 1985, when Europeans and Americans were still competitive, East African seniors placed 4 out of the top 6, and juniors placed 8 out of the top 8. Ethiopia and Kenya took 1st and 2nd in both senior and junior races.- in 1984, 1983, and 1982, Ethiopia, with historically less depth than the Kenyans, still wins both men's senior and junior events. Kenya, placed 4th in the 1984 seniors race, 3rd in 1983, and 4th in 1982, apparently not fielding a full team in the junior races.- in 1981 Ethiopia wins the senior mens event, and Kenya takes third. Kenya and Ethiopia did not participate in the junior race.
Subway Surfers Addiction wrote:
rekrunner wrote:I wouldn't turn a thread about statistics into a doping thread. I would love to talk purely statistics. I guess you fear that I might point out the reality of the existence of Irish and Dutch coaches in East Africa. Or that Italian athletes also have access to Italian coaches, doctors, and pharma companies. I can't imagine that there exists a single statistic about doping that distinguishes East Africans from all others, that could also be described as "best captures the complete dominance".
2) On five occasions (before 2002), 1988, 1991, 1993, 1994, and 1996, the finishes of the top six Kenyans would have beaten a "world" team composed of the top six finishes from the rest of the world combined.
Good to see you're still alive and kicking. Interestingly, the Kenyan/East African dominance started about the same still as your favourite substance became available. You know.........EPO.