I’ve been back in NY now. The subways are mostly empty and so are trains coming in from everywhere - very few commuters still. It’s August and normally a lot of people would be away but it is feeling that much more empty in the streets. I see a lot of mask wearing, at least in stores where it’s mandatory. That’s why the numbers are down, but this won’t be sustainable once schools reopen or volume of commuters picks up.
What do you think is not sustainable? Many companies are going to stay WFH indefinitely. and school looks like it will be hybrid. Testing is at an extremely high level (80K - record high recently). There’s a contact tracing program. Mask-wearing is very high. Positivity rate is steady at 1%. As it stands, it’s not crazy to think they’ll catch outbreaks fairly quickly.
Mask wearing is visible everywhere but parents and children are not being as careful on the playground. Kids are not wearing them when playing with other children and parents take them off when chatting with their friends. When aí flew in the “mandatory” COVID form was not mandatory, it was a just an unattended kiosk and most people were not bothering to pick up a form. Quarantines are not enforced. Contact tracing? Where? Lol.
So what I’m saying is not nearly enough is being done to keep the virus out of states. When kids go back to school, some of them are inevitably going to spread it. Fever check? Too late. Even if hybrid, it’s going to require more frequent use of public transportation. Whoever is taking them, parents nannies, are going to be in contact with teachers, parents, other people in the subways and buses. In a densely populated city with not enough commitment to wear masks and socially distance, coupled with unenforced guidelines, it’s only a matter of time before cases spike. Keep schools closed and I think much of the risk is eliminated.