the world is wathcing wrote:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-52012049
I was going to share that but you beat me to it, a decent read.
the world is wathcing wrote:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-52012049
I was going to share that but you beat me to it, a decent read.
Armstronglivs wrote:
Yonsinglerct wrote:
Nerd slap fight.
No hitting with slide rules and watch the eye glasses. In the event of a tie, it goes to D&D.
(though he seems to be a pseudo-mathematician, so it may not be a fair fight)
Any performance enhancing drugs involved?
Just copious amounts of caffeine.
.. What I believe is the most dangerous component of this situation is “politicization”. I’m finding people are not willing to actually educate themselves about the crisis on hand. Instead, they immediately jump into party “groupthink” instead of making judgments for themselves. Sadly, the majority being Dems. I have found few articles (minus Stanford and MIT) where the underlying message didn’t consist of a political agenda. If the motive is political we lose sight of the big picture.
Yes let’s educate ourselves by listening to fat boy’s non-political press conferences lol.
Yonsinglerct wrote:
P wrote:
The data is reliable enough for those who know how to use it. Any serious mathematical modeler would look at the data available today and consider it a dream - much better than is typically available in our day-to-day jobs.
The mere fact that you look at day-over-day as your primary analysis demonstrates that either 1) you are not a mathematical modeler or 2) you are very bad at your job.
It's funny that you mocked agip early on for some of the same things you have done recently with your "model." Cherry-picking data, "proving" your model by manipulating data to fit it when it starts to fall apart, referring to "hot spots", using single data points, etc.
I also love how you referenced a "17% curve" when you've not done a statistical analysis to see if that curve actually exists. Instead, you've just eye-balled it and thought there was one. No mathematical modeler or statistician would even fathom of doing that.
I could go on, but you get the point. I do find it highly entertaining, so please carry on.
Your lack of comprehension is duly noted.
Trump approval is surging. 46.3% approval
The gap has shrunk. 3.5%
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html
#Trumplandslide
KAG2020
Of course many believed trump when he said the virus would disappear in the spring. Maybe they hope it will disappear in summer?
The stimulus they passed looks big, but it isn't enough.
We've basically been shut down for only a week and a half so far.
Trump's talk about being back to normal by April 12 is just him blowing smoke.
In many places, school has already been announced to be shut down for the est of the school year.
New York is in real bad shape.
The real economic pain from this will echo.
Any good ratings Trump has is from hope of his words.
But reality of those words not ringing true has a lot more meaning when it comes to real economic struggle and health issues.
The best case scenario is that millions would get unemployment benefits at a fraction of what they are making now.
And that's not very good.
Trump needs to tell people that it's going to get worse, to prepare them for that.
But his rosy predictions are going to leave a lot of Americans unprepared for dark days. And they will resent him for that.
the Dow is up 20% in a day and a half of trading.
which is exactly what it is - doesn't mean anything other than that.
Lets line up the Letsrunners to volunteer for this. Sally, Rigged and Iggy first
Agree. As always with trump, it’s a short-term strategy.
emailRnr wrote:
Lets line up the Letsrunners to volunteer for this. Sally, Rigged and Iggy first
https://thefederalist.com/2020/03/25/how-medical-chickenpox-parties-could-turn-the-tide-of-the-wuhan-virus/
the idea is out there
https://www.wsj.com/articles/expose-first-responders-to-the-coronavirus-11585067397There are some capitalist heads exploding. People working together? They’ve gotta be stopped!
agip wrote:
the Dow is up 20% in a day and a half of trading.
which is exactly what it is - doesn't mean anything other than that.
There are a bunch of people that bought at it's low a couple days ago and are hyping up the stimulus and that's boosting stocks.
Now they will sell for a quick gains before it drops as people realize the stimulus won't help fast enough.
I'm not saying when to time it, but I don't see how the forecast for the rest of this year looks good.
I'll cheer when we can eat out.
P wrote:
Yonsinglerct wrote:
The mere fact that you look at day-over-day as your primary analysis demonstrates that either 1) you are not a mathematical modeler or 2) you are very bad at your job.
It's funny that you mocked agip early on for some of the same things you have done recently with your "model." Cherry-picking data, "proving" your model by manipulating data to fit it when it starts to fall apart, referring to "hot spots", using single data points, etc.
I also love how you referenced a "17% curve" when you've not done a statistical analysis to see if that curve actually exists. Instead, you've just eye-balled it and thought there was one. No mathematical modeler or statistician would even fathom of doing that.
I could go on, but you get the point. I do find it highly entertaining, so please carry on.
Your lack of comprehension is duly noted.
When it comes to poorly formulated "models," lack of statistical analysis and fundamental dismissal of mathematical reasoning, you can count me in as lacking comprehension. :)
Carry on though. It is included in my daily chuckle.
L L wrote:
The stimulus they passed looks big, but it isn't enough.
We've basically been shut down for only a week and a half so far.
Trump's talk about being back to normal by April 12 is just him blowing smoke.
In many places, school has already been announced to be shut down for the est of the school year.
New York is in real bad shape.
The real economic pain from this will echo.
Any good ratings Trump has is from hope of his words.
But reality of those words not ringing true has a lot more meaning when it comes to real economic struggle and health issues.
The best case scenario is that millions would get unemployment benefits at a fraction of what they are making now.
And that's not very good.
Trump needs to tell people that it's going to get worse, to prepare them for that.
But his rosy predictions are going to leave a lot of Americans unprepared for dark days. And they will resent him for that.
I never understood the reasoning NYC shut schools, etc down so late compared to other locations that had not been impacted as much.
Anyone know off-hand where the impasse was at the local level? Governor, counties, cities???? (yes, we know already there was an impasse (imbecile) at the federal level, no need to note that)
Yonsinglerct wrote:
L L wrote:
The stimulus they passed looks big, but it isn't enough.
We've basically been shut down for only a week and a half so far.
Trump's talk about being back to normal by April 12 is just him blowing smoke.
In many places, school has already been announced to be shut down for the est of the school year.
New York is in real bad shape.
The real economic pain from this will echo.
Any good ratings Trump has is from hope of his words.
But reality of those words not ringing true has a lot more meaning when it comes to real economic struggle and health issues.
The best case scenario is that millions would get unemployment benefits at a fraction of what they are making now.
And that's not very good.
Trump needs to tell people that it's going to get worse, to prepare them for that.
But his rosy predictions are going to leave a lot of Americans unprepared for dark days. And they will resent him for that.
I never understood the reasoning NYC shut schools, etc down so late compared to other locations that had not been impacted as much.
Anyone know off-hand where the impasse was at the local level? Governor, counties, cities???? (yes, we know already there was an impasse (imbecile) at the federal level, no need to note that)
Apparently some very large number of NYC kids in the school system are homeless. They sleep in shelters. So what do those kids do when they can't go to school? They can't really stay at the shelters all day.
Keeping the schools open was a way to try to protect those kids.
Not sure what is happening now to keep those kids busy.
jesseriley wrote:
Of course many believed trump when he said the virus would disappear in the spring. Maybe they hope it will disappear in summer?
That's probably the only thing that could possibly result in Tiny's re-election. It would need to disappear in summer and not reappear (with vengeance) in the fall.
agip wrote:
Apparently some very large number of NYC kids in the school system are homeless. They sleep in shelters. So what do those kids do when they can't go to school? They can't really stay at the shelters all day.
Keeping the schools open was a way to try to protect those kids.
About 1.1 million kids are in the NYC public schools, and one in ten is homeless--so that's 100,000+. At least some schools are still open in terms of preparing/distributing breakfast and lunch, which were often the only cooked meals that a homeless kid got.
There was considerable sentiment in favor of keeping the schools open and just keeping the kids who'd test positive home; but the dearth of testing equipment (and the school personnel's unions--I can't blame them, either) put the kibosh to that.
Just today I read that a NYC high school principal in her 30s has died from COVID-19.
Just read Manu Dibango, 86, died of the virus yesterday. His “Soul Makossa” was referenced by Michael Jackson & Rihanna (“ma-ma-say-ma-ma-soul-ma-makossa”).
Shouldn’t matter, but it will matter that more celebrities will die of the virus over time.