Lexy Halladay (will be a freshman next year at Mountain View, Idaho) is up there as well: she ran 4:26.90 to win the Portland Track Festival open race today. Fellow eighth grader Madison Elmore (Eugene, Oregon) also ran 4:31.
Add in athletes like Taylor Roe (4:47 for 1600m in 8th grade last year), the plethora of Montana girls the last couple years, Gracie Ping, Kelsey Chmiel, Morgan Foster, Claire Walters, etc. there are a LOT of great young girls out there right now.
Lexy Halladay (mentioned in the third post of this thread) also doing well. Runs for BYU and ran 9:02 last year (9:04 in season opener last month).
Madison Elmore also seems to be doing ok at Oregon. 9:20 in her first NCAA track race a couple of weeks ago. Let’s see how fast she gets.
Taylor Roe of course is now an NCAA champion and has run 8:58 and 15:21
That's what the data would suggest. Few young phenoms excel in college and even fewer make it as a pro. I go with the odds.
I must read words too carefully (ask Midstriker!) "few young phenms excel" and "even fewer [phenoms] make it" implies "never go on to be good professional"! So, at, craps since few throws are 12s does that mean 12s are never thrown?
I will bet you any amount of money on one roll that it won't be 12. One roll will eventually be 12 but nobody knows which one.
and you are right that the odds of a phenom being a good pro are low....but that does not mean never....
on the bet, as long as you have the bankroll to absorb a loss you are fine....and that is wht they build those large casinos with many, many bets to take
Katelyn Tuohy through high school and now college has had the healthy physique of a teenage and now adult woman, unlike many of the other phenoms mentioned, who seemed to stave off puberty and continued to look pre-pubescent well into their 20s.
Body composition isn't everything, but I do wonder if undereating/underfueling contributed to the other phenoms' demise/chronic injury/difficult careers. I hope Katelyn's career goes well. She seems like a nice person.
People who run fast young can run fast at older ages, I think it was Jenny Spangler who once held the American Junior (19 and under) record, over 20 years later she broke the American masters record (over age 40) in the marathon, and for a while had the American Junior AND the American masters record SIMULTANEOUSLY.
Translation: people who train hard early can hold records again, by grinding way past the age all their peers lose interest.
ho hum, she just set the NCAA mile record. keep hating
He's right. It has nothing to do with "hating." The odds are very much against a top high school girl becoming a top professional.
Obviously a few end up being successful but the majority of them do not.
seems like critical thinking may not be either of y'alls strong suits. she is already a top college girl, so comparing her to the entire set of "top high school girls" is obviously unfair/ridiculous. compare her to top high school girls who ALSO became top college girls.
What does that subset of runners pro careers look like?
Lexy Halladay (will be a freshman next year at Mountain View, Idaho) is up there as well: she ran 4:26.90 to win the Portland Track Festival open race today. Fellow eighth grader Madison Elmore (Eugene, Oregon) also ran 4:31.
Add in athletes like Taylor Roe (4:47 for 1600m in 8th grade last year), the plethora of Montana girls the last couple years, Gracie Ping, Kelsey Chmiel, Morgan Foster, Claire Walters, etc. there are a LOT of great young girls out there right now.
Lexy Halladay (mentioned in the third post of this thread) also doing well. Runs for BYU and ran 9:02 last year (9:04 in season opener last month).
Madison Elmore also seems to be doing ok at Oregon. 9:20 in her first NCAA track race a couple of weeks ago. Let’s see how fast she gets.
Taylor Roe of course is now an NCAA champion and has run 8:58 and 15:21
On the same day that Tuohy runs the NCAA record.
Halladay ran a nice 4:37.3 PB, a couple of spots behind Taylor Roe who ran 4:34 (1s slower than her PB) at Razorback.