Somebody is. I would sooner loan for 1.5% than 1.3%.
Considering the low price that yielded 1.5% is likely to rise again pretty quick, why not? I don't have to hold on to it.
Somebody is. I would sooner loan for 1.5% than 1.3%.
Considering the low price that yielded 1.5% is likely to rise again pretty quick, why not? I don't have to hold on to it.
and btw just a few hours after the markets closed that yield is back down to 1.48
yes yes yes yes wrote:
butt fumble wrote:
No. That’s not how it works.
He's still batting a thousand, I see.
Yields on the 10Y T note will not exceed 260.0 basis points
Bad Wigins wrote:
Somebody is. I would sooner loan for 1.5% than 1.3%.
Considering the low price that yielded 1.5% is likely to rise again pretty quick, why not? I don't have to hold on to it.
You do understand that if and when rates rise quickly, the value of the bond you hold plummets?
2600 bro wrote:
BTC less volatile than equities now.
No it's not.
That's nuts
Household income up 10% in January lol
Some quick year to date numbers
BTC +60%
Hussman +9
Emerging +6
ARKK +4
USA +3
Non-US developed +3
60/40 +1
Tech 0
VXX 0
US Bonds -3
TSLA -3
Dr. Racket wrote:Yields on the 10Y T note will not exceed 260.0 basis pointsI see what you did there... :-)
Dr. Racket wrote:
Household income up 10% in January lol
WSJ:
Oxford Economics predicts output will grow 7% this year, which would be the strongest growth in decades. In a Wall Street Journal poll earlier this month, economists on average expected gross domestic product to expand nearly 4.9% this year.
//
So I guess this might be a big question:
If the stock market often overlooks temporary drops in corporate profits and looks 'over the valley' to a more profitable future...will the stock market now do the reverse and 'look over the mountain' of huge profits to a flatland of mediocre profits after the spending wears away?
Probably yeah it will. Which is part of my argument to start looking away from the US.
VS-SJW-IR-TS idiot wrote:
Dr. Racket wrote:Yields on the 10Y T note will not exceed 260.0 basis points
I see what you did there... :-)
I don't usually toot my horn, but I'll do it when I can:
I've managed this rate volatility pretty well.
I sold bonds in a big way before he collapse in price and yesterday at the close I backed up the truck. Shorter duration stuff but still.
This morning it looks like rates are coming down, bond prices are rising so that might work out for me, in a small way.
agip wrote:
after the spending wears away?
yuge assumption right there. When has spending ever waned?
USA is the future - stability in supply chains is all the rage these days.
Dr. Racket wrote:
agip wrote:
after the spending wears away?
yuge assumption right there. When has spending ever waned?
USA is the future - stability in supply chains is all the rage these days.
well come on we're not doing a $2T stimulus package every year.
on the supply chains, sure, some, but really? Making low value widgets in the US? Not gonna happen.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Ref: Ark Funds
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/carnage-continues-ark-funds-see-more-400-million-outflows-thursday
flagship down 22% at the lows today
SP500 down 4% from all time highs (set just 10 days ago)
and it feels like a massacre. Weird.
Or not weird, given how much we look at tech stocks.
Tech down more like 8% from highs.
The Unkle wrote:
Bad Wigins wrote:
Somebody is. I would sooner loan for 1.5% than 1.3%.
Considering the low price that yielded 1.5% is likely to rise again pretty quick, why not? I don't have to hold on to it.
You do understand that if and when rates rise quickly, the value of the bond you hold plummets?
At this moment, the yield is back down to 1.45.
Look at the line of idiots, even you, trying to act like I'm the dumb one here. Yes, I would have bought them yesterday while they were cheap. And sold them now, or later, after the spike fixed itself, just as I predicted.
Greg wrote:
The Unkle wrote:
Getting hammered.
Made about $350k in six months.
Have lost $90k in three days
Wow you operate in a different reality than me.
I held Tesla for about 1 month. Bought at 580 something sold right near the peak at 860.
Made about $1000 that is my only profit.
Everything else I've lost money on. I am holding for at least the next 6 months, probably the next 18.
I made $100k in the first 4-1/2 days of this year. Then lost a bit put peaked 2 weeks ago up another $30k after some weed stock I bought doubled in a few days.
In the last 2 weeks have lost over $160k. Nearly $90k this week alone.
This is really stressing me. Although I am only 19% in the market, I cannot take these losses psychologically. The ups are great but the downs are taking a toll on me.
I am thinking about going from 19% down to maybe 5% in the market
Bad Wigins wrote:
The Unkle wrote:
You do understand that if and when rates rise quickly, the value of the bond you hold plummets?
At this moment, the yield is back down to 1.45.
Look at the line of idiots, even you, trying to act like I'm the dumb one here. Yes, I would have bought them yesterday while they were cheap. And sold them now, or later, after the spike fixed itself, just as I predicted.
Yes, because you can see the future unlike everyone else
Bad Wigins wrote:
The Unkle wrote:
You do understand that if and when rates rise quickly, the value of the bond you hold plummets?
At this moment, the yield is back down to 1.45.
Look at the line of idiots, even you, trying to act like I'm the dumb one here. Yes, I would have bought them yesterday while they were cheap. And sold them now, or later, after the spike fixed itself, just as I predicted.
Watch it man. You’re treading on agip’s territory, he is the Ten Year Treasury day trader.?
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Bad Wigins wrote:
At this moment, the yield is back down to 1.45.
Look at the line of idiots, even you, trying to act like I'm the dumb one here. Yes, I would have bought them yesterday while they were cheap. And sold them now, or later, after the spike fixed itself, just as I predicted.
Watch it man. You’re treading on agip’s territory, he is the Ten Year Treasury day trader.?
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