Ghost of Igloi wrote:
On bonds, here's grantham missing one of the great bull markets of all time. He said that we'd have 7 years of negative bond returns, starting in 2013.
Instead it's been a bonanza of fixed income profits.
Grantham is woefully out of sync with global markets.
"With the exception of emerging market debt, bonds are priced to deliver truly lousy returns over the next 7 years--losses of 1% to 3% per year after inflation. And cash is priced to break even."
Oh, and to add to that thought. How much in $Trillions of fiscal and monetary support postponed or made that market rebalance greater and more severe?
that is irrelevant
if you predict market performance, you have to take all measures into consideration. You don't get a 'yeah but who would have thought that...' card to play
If I lose money in stocks, I don't get to say 'yeah but who would have thought a once in a century pandemic would crash the world economy' and get my money back.
Grantham made his bet and lost it. He has made the same bet and lost the same bet for years and years and years.
Well the same thing was said in 2000 and 2007, and those you currently rely on for predictions were horribly wrong causing far more economic and investor destruction than Hussman or Grantham.