fliberty gibbet wrote:
Biles PR is 3:30.55.
no shit his pr is 3:30, that's the whole point. He closed faster than anyone, but was never near the sub-3:30 crowd.
When you close a race MUCH faster than the average pace, clearly you are in shape to run faster given a more even pace. This is such an obvious rule to distance running that I can't even believe I am explaining it right now, I honestly thought this website was smarter than that.
You're "explaining" it because you're too stupid to realize almost everyone closes MUCH faster than their average pace. The only ones who don't are the ones everyone calls crazy for pushing the pace.
Though technically you're right. Mo hit the bell in 12:21 and finished slightly quicker than usual. Given a more even pace, he'd hit the bell at 12:10 and finish in 55, just like happened in Eugene. Big deal. To run 12:50 he'll have to hit the bell in 11:55 which he can not do. Maybe in 2011, but not now.
Let's extend your logic to Alamirew and Gebrhiwet, who closed Rome in 54 and 55. You say Mo's 53 in Birmingham off an average 64.4 means he's in sub-13 shape. 14 seconds for a -11.4 split, or 123%. 123% of Alamirew's -8.6 off 62.6 in Rome is 10.6, putting him in 12:44 shape.
Alamirew isn't in 12:44 shape. 12:50 at best. But if it were Mo that ran 12:54 with 54 this year, you'd all be saying crazy shit like 12:40. Mo is in 13:05 shape and will not improve on that. Don't be sad. 13:05 is pretty good.