Jordan's raced twice and she doesn't seem to have as good of a chance at the NCAA title as she did in 2011 and 2010. Dellinger was pretty much a throw away race, clearly not at her best.
5th at prenats though is not super promising. Throw in Saina, Hollander Nelson, Kroeger, Flood (also hasn't looked to be at her best), and its an uphill battle.
At this point I'd give her a 10% shot at the win, where as last year at this time I probably would have probably given her 40-45%, and the year before about 35-40%. What are your thoughts?