michiganxcrunner wrote:
You'll have to drop a lot of time but I think it's possible. The above poster's comment about 10:35 feeling easy is a bit of a stretch IMO. That'd have to be one hell of a tempo considering 10:35 would only be 7sec slower per mile than 16:00 race pace. Anyways, your high mileage should make a big difference if you've never run high mileage before (at least for me, increasing mileage has been a big turning pt). Good luck to you though man, I'm shooting for the same goal this year.
You are right...I should have been more clear. You should EASILY be able to run 10:35 to be able to BEGIN TO THINK about breaking 16. A 10:35 3200 on the track should be something you can do in your sleep...in other words, automatic. No matter how you feel, the conditions, etc...10:35 should be automatic. Easy was an incorrect choice of words.
Just before I broke 16 for the first time, I ran the following workout:
3200 - 10:07
800m rest jog
2x1000 @ 3:10 with 200m jog as rest in between each one.
So, my point is I ran a 10:07 in a workout, it felt controlled, but it was certainly difficult. However, it was almost 30 seconds faster than a 10:35...and I was still not done with the workout.
Im not a pro. Im not a pro coach. Just someone who has experience running times that you want to run, and Im just simply adding my insight into the type of fitness level I think you will need to be in to accomplish your goals. Obviously, everyone is different.