Sagarin wrote:
Hall is not a 2:04 or even 2:06 runner anymore. He's a consistent 2:08-2:09 guy on a certified course, who has many miles on the legs. Not much difference between he and Ritz, and Ritz beat him in Beijing.
Since 2007 Hall has run 2:08:24 (London), 2:09:02 (2008 Olympic Marathon Trials), 2:06:17 (London), 2:12:33 (Beijing Olympics), 2:09:40 (Boston), 2:10:36 (NYC), 2:08:41 (Boston), 2:04:58 (Boston), 2:08:04 (Chicago), 2:09:30 (2012 Olympic Marathon Trials)
Ritz since 2006 has run 2:14:01 (NYC), 2:11:07 (2008 OT Trials), 2:11:59 (Beijing Olympics), 2:10:00 (London), 2:09:55 (2012 Olympic Marathon Trials)
Is Hall a 2:08-2:09 runner? One could argue yes, but Ritz is a 2:10-2:11 runner with a shallow body of work and nothing faster than 2:09:55 whereas even if we throw out for the sake of argument Hall's 2:04:58 Boston time, Hall still has 7 marathon faster than Ritz's PR.
Hall shows a lot more promise of breaking 2:08 in the future based on his past than Ritz does and there is a huge difference between Hall and Ritz. Hall has mixed it up with the top marathoners in the world and while he may lose he has been pulled to sub-2:05, as well as some superb placings (his 2:09:40 at Boston in 2009 was just over a minute behind the winner and placed him third overall). Ritz is better on the track than Hall, no argument there, and that is where his strength lies, so he should stay focused there.
None of us truly knows how bad Hall's PF is. We can guess by his 65:32 at RNR San Diego it is bad, but if he can run that fast on the hilly RNR course with a bad foot, I'm not too worried about how he will do on the pancake flat 3-loop course of London. The calls for him to give up his spot are misplaced. He earned the right to represent the US in London. Ritz didn't.