Unbiased observer wrote:
Here is a realistic scenario for Oregon at nationals (these are team points)
5 puskedra
25 verzbicas
60 Stinson
70 fleet ( he ran a 3:57 mile)
100 Kwiatkowski ( he ran 13:51 last year)
Total 260, that puts them at around 5th place
This is assuming nobody gets hurt cause they definitely are not a deep team. Also assuming nobody drops out or has a terrible race because this is probably the best case scenario for Oregon this year. I don't see any of the other freshman making an impact and them all redshirting cross country.
This team has no chance at winning the race, but they are still a very good team.
You're underrating Puskedra and Verzbicas. LV was faster than German in high school and German would have been top 10 in his frosh year. Puskedra is the top returning runner if Sambu redshirts. He is a legit contender. I'd say 3rd and 15th are a reasonable expectations for these guys. If a couple of those bottom guys step up, a podium finish isn't a stretch.