Read my lips "potential".
Have you people already forgotten Michelle Wie?
Read my lips "potential".
Have you people already forgotten Michelle Wie?
idoit...you are an idiot.
do you think he is going to sign a contract that pays him a six digit salary? and that is even if he is offered a contract, which i highly doubt he will be offered one. i love how you assume he'll be making the big bucks and he'll pick his coach and go to any school he wants. and if all that fails, all those hundreds of thousands of dollars he made will keep him living until he finishes school.
Show me a question, first. They end with question marks, all you have posted are declarative statements.
it should also be taken into consideration that german fernandez has not has multiple years of good consistenty healthy training. people talk about him being injury prone but how many times has he been injured? once? something tells me if he were to go pro and didn't have to worry about going to classes, studying, working, or doing anything else but running, sleeping, and eating, and having the money or the locale to have an entourage of supporters like physiologists and good coaches and what not around him, he'd probably have better chances of being injury free, as long as his coach knew what he was doing with him. with a couple years of good consistent training, fernandez probably could be very, very good. 3:56-13:20 in 2 years is realistic for this 18 year old. some would say no, some would say yes, but he ran 8:34 after a 4:00 1600m. i don't know if webb could've done that, although webb did run a 3200m best of 8:45, so maybe webb could have done that in high school, but we're still comparing fernandez to webb now. we shouldn't forget that fernandez also shattered the woodward park 5k course record, the ca state xc meet record, running 5k in 14:25 on rolling hills. he's definitely capable of going sub 14. i think he should turn pro, even if he wants to go to college part time. he should focus on his training now, but not go crazy. school presents a lot of inner stressers that are hard to take into account sometimes. i hope he runs a mile and a 2 mile sometime soon just for records' sake.
Who said 6 digits? No one in my family makes more than 50k a year and we live very comfortably. But yes, a kid like that could make a lot more than 50k. Youre just a dumb prick who doesnt want to see a kid who is 17 make more money than you.
He is not going pro until college is over simply as that.
irun wrote:
it should also be taken into consideration that german fernandez has not has multiple years of good consistenty healthy training. people talk about him being injury prone but how many times has he been injured? once?
Actually he has been injured several times in his 4 years of HS competition, including one injury which required knee surgery and shin splints bad enough that he had to crosstrain for several weeks. This is why nobody had really heard of him until this past Fall- he had been incredibly inconsistent due to repeated injury. Heck, he even missed some competition over the winter due to injuries (nothing serious, but enough to hold him out of competition).
I suppose this has an upside and a downside. If he can run as well as he does with such inconsistent training, imagine what he could do with a few years of healthy training under his belt.
On the other hand, if he is requiring knee surgery and long bouts of crosstraining because of what he has done in high school, can we reasonably expect him to actually get good consistent training at a college (or pro) level?
If I'm Nike or Asics, I'm getting in touch with him, but I'm not going to offer him pro money until he shows me that he can make good on his huge potential and be a good investment for me.
On the downside, if he can't take
Idiot wrote:
a kid like that could make a lot more than 50k.
You know nothing of the sport at the pro levels, then. Excuse yourself from the discussion and run along now.
Let's settle a few things here:
1. GF is not currently as popular in the serious/elite running community as Ritz or Hall. That is obvious.
2. If German ends up on a show like the Letterman show for example, he will certainly surpass Ritz and Hall among the non-serious/elite running community, which is what brings in the bucks anyways
3. German has had a few injuries, but most of them have been from his feeble attempts to try other sports. His most recent serious injury Sprin 07 came from playing JV basketball. The kid is not exactly injury prone.
the rocket wrote:
2. If German ends up on a show like the Letterman show for example, he will certainly surpass Ritz and Hall among the non-serious/elite running community, which is what brings in the bucks anyways
Um, so has Hernandez done or is he probably going to do something that would get him on Letterman or any other show like that? Webb had all the hype from breaking a very historic record in a popular event. ESPN put it on SportsCenter when it happened. Even if Hernandez could run 13:30 this summer, as has been wildly speculated here, the 5000m is still an obscure event (compared with the mile or 100m) and that wouldn't get him on the team to Beijing. The OT won't be a time trial atmosphere for him like his other races have been.
Chanelle Price, on the other hand, has a real shot at making the Olympic team this year and that could maybe get her onto Oprah. She's the only one of the current crop of high schoolers that I could see going pro soon, but even for her I'd advise at least a year or two in NCAA competition to learn racing smarts with lowered pressure than what she'd get on the pro circuit. Even when Webb did end up going pro, he was much, much more accomplished (in terms of marketable accomplishments) than Hernandez currently is and he still had a couple of seasons where he stagnated competitively and seemingly still hasn't acquired much in the way of racing smarts.
Sorry for the brainfart there, I screwed up his name. It's Fernandez, not Hernandez.
Idiot wrote:
If German set the HSR for the two mile, went pro next year and Nike came out with a spike named after him or a set of trainers ....
I would think Nike would have a tough time selling a spike or trainer named "German". Adidas might be interested though.
lol
For those of you who think he can run faster than 13:37 now..are on something. Do you realize how fast that is for a Junior? Pre's 13:39 stood forever..until Sanchez came along..then Rupp...wait until he at least runs a track 5K.....2 miles isn't the same as 5K..trust me. Anyone remember Ritz's best HS 5K? He ran that at USATF nationals being towed by elite's and he still couldn't run that fast!
why do you guys get all excited over how much someone else might make?
the rocket wrote:
I have to agree with Bonzo on this one.
Oh and without a doubt German is more ready to turn pro than Galen Rupp was. I don't expect German will run a 5000m this year, but if he did I wouldn't be too suprised if he broke 13:30. In fact I think if German raced Rupp in a 5k tonight it would be a tight race.
GERMAN ftw!
It's ignorant posts like these from rabid, overzealous German supporters that keep people from jumping on the bandwagon.
There is no doubt about it: he's very, very, fast. One of the best prep runners in history. I think he'll go on to be one of the best American runners in history as well. I'm sure he's a great guy, too. Can't we just leave it at that? Do you have to diminish his accomplishments with your wild speculation of his current potential in other distances and races?
If he and a HIGH SCHOOl Rupp raced a 5K, I don't think German would win, let alone tonight. Rupp would destroy German in a 5000 if they raced right now. I'm sure German's coach would tell you that as well. Get a grip and come back to Earth.