I hate to piss on the party but when was the last time that Deena gave a perfomance that would indicate putting her name on the shortlist for a medal at the Beijing Olympics?
I guess her 2:19 London marathon in 2006 and her USA national XC championships race in 2007. They were solid efforts. For more than a year now there's been no performace which has convinced me. Today was a great race to follow, sub-2:30 and first place in front of some B-list runners with great human interest stories, but it doesn't scream out medal to me. Kara Goucher could probably have qualified just by going for a long run.
Let's be real: who else is going to be at the Olympics? There are going to be some tough women there - I can think of several off the top of my head that are much more likely to medal than Deena: (1) Noguchi - this woman knows how to peak and is in super condition; (2) Radcliffe - while is likely to suffer in the heat, you can't argue against 2:15 and also her NYC marathon last year shows she is still as tough as; (3) Ndereba - this is another woman who knows how to run championship races - her record is phenomenal - two golds and two silvers in the last four majors just is in a different league than Deena; (4) Zhou is pretty useful, can run well both in the heat (Osaka) and also is pretty fast (London 2007) and will have home crowd advantage; (5) Wami / Adere any other Ethiopian - they are speedy ladies and although produce a few ropey performances from time to time, in the last couple of years they've been more convincing than Deena - I'm thinking Chicago 2006 and Berlin/NYC 2007; (6) Any other Kenyan - perhaps Masai; (7) Reiko Tosa - a good championship performer - doesn't know what pain threshold means - Osaka 2007; (8) Dita Tomescu of bun-hugger fame - perhaps past her peak but I favour her over Deena if she can get back to her Chicago 2006 shape and not screw up her pacing; and (9) Russian no-names are pissing out sub 2:30 performances monthly.
Let's be real - today's performance was fun to watch but mediocre. To put it in perspective - it was equivalent or perhaps slightly inferior to the performances of no-name Hayley Haining and Liz Yelling in London last week - remember the two girls who pissed you all off because the coverage was on them rather than on Ryan Hall? No-one is saying Yelling and Haining will medal - Haining isn't even at the Olympics because Marauchi and Radcliffe are pre-selected.
Deena's one lifeline is if it is boiling hot and Radcliffe/Tomescu Dita/a.n.other take it out hard and then a lot of folk collapse and Deena sits off the pace then picks up the carnage. I don't see history repeating itself.
You heard it here first - no medals for Deena. Well done for Athens in 2004 - it was her finest moment - a gamble which paid off.