Asbel Kiprop Will Win The Men's 1500M Run at The WC's

So easy and convenient to predict a negative outcome for Webb or anybody. Thus when they do well, it's "what a nice surprise." Do those who predict doom for Webb know how his workouts etc are going?

Obviously anything can happen in the race, but I feel pretty good about Webb medaling because of the way he has been racing. Yeah is American record was with a rabbit but his European wins and the title as US Nationals was with a kick at the end.

I like his chances, but maybe it would be better if he gets 4th at Worlds. Make him hungrier for next year.

Webb WC Medal

In all fairness to TFN,their WC predictions appear to have been made after his 1500m in Paris,but before his AR Mile and 2 sec. 1:43 PR in the 800. I bet they would have picked him to medal if it would have been written after those 2 races.

Wrong. wrote:

Adil Kaouch. Without a doubt.

I agree. With Webb in 3rd.

The affect of 5500ft altitude would reduce performance for a 3:31 1500m runner 4-4.5sec. His time of 3:35 1500m at an altitude of 5500ft would then in effect be worth a 3:31 1500m at sea level.

Based on the 1500m performance list, current as of 7/31, this would rank him between 4th and 10th. Three runners have broken 3:31 for 1500m this season with 9 below 3:32.

His compatriot, Shadrack Korir, is currently ranked 5th on the list whom he beat by a 0.6 second margin at the trials of 3:35.5 for Kiprop to 3:36.1 for Korir.

Kiprop's comment following the Kenyan trials stating "I feel good. The pace was not so high and I was able to capitalize on it," bodes well for his peaking and finishing kick, both necessary factors to consider when contending for a medal or title in a championship race.

Asbel's only previous performance over 1500m this summer, a 3:35.81 on July 2nd in Athens for 12th in addition to his youth does result in a shadow of doubt over the consistency of his performances.

Nevertheless, his previous performance as mentioned earlier with his cross country triumph in addition to his recent result at the Kenyan trials lends me to believe he is a favorite for a top 3 finish and a contender for the title but by no means a favorite.

Asbel has lost only in two races this year! this young man wins at the right time...when there is alot of pressure! look he wasn't the favourite when he won WC, he wasn't the favourite when he won the Kenyan national trials and he wasn't the favourite when he won championships in Algiers!! he is one man who chooses to win when it is needed MOST!! Don't you read the lines??

Go for the champ again brother!

My picks are Ali Mansoor, Alan Webb, or (yes) Bernard Lagat: I will be shocked if anyone beats those all three of them- unless Augustine Choge (lol) gets a spot on the 1500m team.

yeah my bets are in Ali Monsoor former Kenyan and Asbel Kiprop...one of the two races which Asbel lost was won by Ali Monsoor former kenyan.

I orginially had Adil Kaouch for Gold, however Webb is not only running fast (which he\'s been doing since high school), BUT NOW he is also racing/competing superbly! Take the 1:43 800 race- after a blistering 400 split, Gary Reed acclerated more, passed Webb and basically had the race and Webb would not give up and would not be denied. He\'s learned his lessons, most of all from his 04 Olympic sillyness. Webb......Gold! He won\'t be denied (unless he gets injured- knock on wood).

Webb and Adil Kaouch both ran 3'30 this year, Adil Kaouch also has beaten a superb field at the dream and he has the best closing speed out of everyone!!

My pick is Adeeeeeeeeel!!

Now in Colorado wrote:

I orginially had Adil Kaouch for Gold, however Webb is not only running fast (which he's been doing since high school), BUT NOW he is also racing/competing superbly! Take the 1:43 800 race- after a blistering 400 split, Gary Reed acclerated more, passed Webb and basically had the race and Webb would not give up and would not be denied. He's learned his lessons, most of all from his 04 Olympic sillyness. Webb......Gold! He won't be denied (unless he gets injured- knock on wood).

He already is injured and missed Crystal Palace on account of his injuries.

Yes, but what happens when Webb runs the kick out of Kaouch and everyone else, then throws in an itty-bitty kick of his own at the end there? Oh, that's right: Webb wins! Oh, btw, I'm picking Webb. Kaouch is a serious contender, obviously, but I gotta go with Webb. I just gotta...

i am going with Vipam on this one as well

As i stated as early as June in other threads I am going with Ali Mansoor. this kid is the real deal. His age is verified by the IAAF even though that doesn't matter, and he has just as good of speed as Webb and I beleive he has a better head on his shoulders then Webb does. I'm going for Webb in second though. lagat top 5, prob losing it down the homestretch.

I am curious if anyone knows the splits of his 3:35 at the Kenyan trials and 3:38 at the African Games?

Benard lagat himself has never ran better than 3.35 in the same place during the numerous trials.

So how does he look after the 1st round?

like an arrogant prick

Good Lordy. They best take it out fast cause he can blast. I will watch him closely in the semi's. He ran like it was cool.

iliketorun wrote:

like an arrogant prick

excellent form. one of the best Ive ever seen. In the last 50m he moved to the outside about 1-2m and overtook webb and another guy. Immpresive. He's a skinny tall guy. Hard to believe hes only 17-18 yrs old. must be 6 foot 3 or 4. Didn't look all that tired at the end. In the last few meters it had a slow motion shot of Kiprop zooming by Webb while wagging a finger in the air. And Webb pumping his arms in the background as he finishes. Should be a good final. Anyone know if Asbel and Alan are in the same semi?