They are scared of her. When are you guys going to let go of time as the dominant criteria? It didn't matter what times Nuguse ran in the recent past. He deferred to Jakob because he understands the pecking order. The West girls will do the same to Tuohy. The playground aspect has a heck of a lot more carryover than posters on track sites are willing to accept.
The only way it doesn't play out that way is if someone gets rank and sacrifices herself.
Roe outkicked her only a year ago in the 3000 amd she didn't even qualify. Yes Tuohy has won some titles over the past year but Roe's performance shows how quickly it can fade. Tuohy could front run a 4:07 and get passed by a few runners.
No. Only east Region is scared of her. The west region been in battles all month. They’ll take on anyone.
They are scared of her. When are you guys going to let go of time as the dominant criteria? It didn't matter what times Nuguse ran in the recent past. He deferred to Jakob because he understands the pecking order. The West girls will do the same to Tuohy. The playground aspect has a heck of a lot more carryover than posters on track sites are willing to accept.
The only way it doesn't play out that way is if someone gets rank and sacrifices herself.
Exactly. It’s not as if the runners from the West region will be seeing Tuohy for the very first time in the outdoor championships. They have obviously competed against her in the indoor and XC championships and they saw her then. Well, they saw her back.
The women 1500m is really deep this year. 8 women have run 4:08 (incl Tuohy) this outdoor season. Nobody is running away with this race.
Tuohy only ran the 1500 once in outdoor this year and knowing she had to double back less than an hour later to get her 5k qualifier, she had to back off the pace some at the end of that race.
During indoor, only a few months ago, she ran a 4:24 mile and 4:23 DMR split. So it’s a reasonable guess that she has more than a 4:08 1500. By the way, she ran 4:06 last year and she is obviously more fit now and also has the confidence of winning multiple championships. Winners win.
She is also being very smart by expending only as much energy as needed in the qualifying round. The west region runners have taken a different approach but will they be cooked by the time the final race is run? You can only go to the well so many times. Anything can happen, of course, injuries, sickness, just a bad day, and the race will be competitive, but for those who just automatically discount anything Tuohy does, just pointing out some facts.
Discount? He pointed out the accomplishments of multiple runners. Tuohy fans can't stand to have anything positive said about any other runners. It isn't a cut of Tuohy.
In the 1500 of all of these sub 4:10 runners only Tuohy and Barnett have shown the inclination to lead - and so far Tuohy has been happy with slow pace but I think that will change. All of the others have been content to sit in the middle of the pack. If Tuohy and Barnett end up in same semi who leads the other? The place/time/serpentine method seems clear as mud but my guess now is they will be in different heats. The thing Tuohy has done right is position herself at the front ("Centro") so when the kicking started she was in the lead thus everyone else would need to run close to 1 second faster on final lap to beat her. I don't think Tuohy would let the final be slow and just come down to a kick and I would expect her to want to be in the lead going into the final lap.
In the 5000 I don't think she willl try to run away from anyone, and I do think Venters or Kemboi will be at the front. If she is there with 1000 to go I think Tuohy tries to go from more than 400 out.
The place/time/serpentine method seems clear as mud but my guess now is they will be in different heats.
I looked at that and am pretty confident Tuohy and Barnett will be in the same loaded heat. It may be like the finals. Barnett has been running very gutsy, makes it interesting
The place/time/serpentine method seems clear as mud but my guess now is they will be in different heats.
I looked at that and am pretty confident Tuohy and Barnett will be in the same loaded heat. It may be like the finals. Barnett has been running very gutsy, makes it interesting
It looked to me like they take 4 heat winners and go h1/h2/h2/h1 and then for the 4 seconds go h2/h1/h1/h2 so Tuohy as slowest winner would be heat 1 and Barnett as fastest 2nd place would be heat 2. But as I say, "clear as mud"
In the 1500 of all of these sub 4:10 runners only Tuohy and Barnett have shown the inclination to lead - and so far Tuohy has been happy with slow pace but I think that will change. All of the others have been content to sit in the middle of the pack. If Tuohy and Barnett end up in same semi who leads the other? The place/time/serpentine method seems clear as mud but my guess now is they will be in different heats. The thing Tuohy has done right is position herself at the front ("Centro") so when the kicking started she was in the lead thus everyone else would need to run close to 1 second faster on final lap to beat her. I don't think Tuohy would let the final be slow and just come down to a kick and I would expect her to want to be in the lead going into the final lap.
In the 5000 I don't think she willl try to run away from anyone, and I do think Venters or Kemboi will be at the front. If she is there with 1000 to go I think Tuohy tries to go from more than 400 out.
In the 1500, I think Tuohy will run an Alicia Monson style of race and keep dropping the pace and keep putting the pressure on. Use her strength, get in front fairly early. The 5k strategy will depend entirely on how the 1500 turns out and her recovery.
Hot weather conditions may play a part, but I think with the exception of Tuohy’s Regional meet her freshman year, she has run well in heat. Her HS 4:33 mile was run in 95 degree temperatures. Not sure the impact on the rest of the field. In the 5k though, Valby and Churchill may have an edge being from Florida.
Huh? If you mean got a big gap and barely held on, ok. Look at the splits in that race. Not only was she doubling off the 5000m the night before, but she did not really know how good she was yet. That event was her big college breakthrough. Otherwise she would have run that race less tentatively.