I am going to guess he does not win and that his incredibly long time atop the world marathoners (after a long career as a world class track runner) is finally over.
Hate to see it but it happens to all of us.
He won Gold in the 5k at the 2003 world champs, 19 years ago.
But you realize he *just* ran 2:02:40 in Tokyo? After dispatching the Olympic field in Sapporo by well over a minute ? I’m not sure that this is a runner in decline, a man slowing down…
But you realize he *just* ran 2:02:40 in Tokyo? After dispatching the Olympic field in Sapporo by well over a minute ? I’m not sure that this is a runner in decline, a man slowing down…
Yes I do.
And 2 years ago he lost (8th place) a marathon (London) for the 1st time in 7 years, his only marathon loss since 2013.
He won his 1st marathon, also in 2013, finished second in his next (the loss noted above), then won his next nine (unheard of!) before the 2020 loss in London, before bouncing back to win his next 3, including the OG.
He did not contest the WC marathon this year.
He will be 38 in 2 months and has massive training and racing miles on his body.
2 years ago was the 1st sign of his being human.
I suspect this next race will show him to be human again and not impervious to age and miles.
Hope to be wrong but I am going out on a limb and predicting he does not win.
Would love to see KB, who of course is even older and has shown far more chinks in his armour, pull off a major upset.
Good summary of what may happen. Could have added two more contenders like I did. Two men who ‘only’ have 2.09.xx pb’s but with major revisions, could easily go sub 2.05.
Good summary of what may happen. Could have added two more contenders like I did. Two men who ‘only’ have 2.09.xx pb’s but with major revisions, could easily go sub 2.05.
My choices are here:
Berlin Marathon is in 23 Days: Here are 23 Profiles, One Every Day - LetsRun.com
Anyone know where this can be watched on TV? I know Flotrack has it live, but how about Peacock or one of the networks? I can't find it listed anywhere.
Anyone know where this can be watched on TV? I know Flotrack has it live, but how about Peacock or one of the networks? I can't find it listed anywhere.
Why would Flotrack allow NBC/Peacock to broadcast it too?
I am going to guess he does not win and that his incredibly long time atop the world marathoners (after a long career as a world class track runner) is finally over.
Hate to see it but it happens to all of us.
He won Gold in the 5k at the 2003 world champs, 19 years ago.
Brilliant,that means he is bound to win to keep up your tradition of being wrong about everything.
Anyone know where this can be watched on TV? I know Flotrack has it live, but how about Peacock or one of the networks? I can't find it listed anywhere.
Why would Flotrack allow NBC/Peacock to broadcast it too?
Think it would be the other way around lmao. There's no way Flotrack outbid NBC for streaming rights, they must not have wanted it.
Last I heard he plans to start out with the 4 hour group and will slowly turn up the pace in the second half until he's running 9 minute 5ks to finish.
I think it's really fun. He's definitely pushing the limits of what seems possible right now.
Remember when Ryan Hall went out in 1:02:13 in London 2008, WR pace? Everyone got crazy here, now Kipchoge ran 2 x 1:00:49 halfs.
I think he wouldn't run Berlin when he would not feel able to at least drop it into the 2:00:xx-range. So my take is, he plans to go out in roughly 60:15-30, and then has 3 scenarios:
1. He holds it or splits slightly negative. Bam, 2:00:XX.
2. He feels insanely good at 10-15k. Then he will go out under 60:30ish (make the pacers accelerate a bit) and take a crack at low 2:00 or sub 2.
3. If it feels hard from early on, with a 60:30 first half he should be able to still win, when he is fit & healthy, because it is not soooo much faster than 2:01:39/2:02 pace.
All the Kipchoge haters rooting for Father Time will be right, eventually.
They'll just keep going with the same lame predictions until they're right. And then they'll ignore the fact that they were wrong about 15 times before their "wisdom" is finally apparent to all
All the Kipchoge haters rooting for Father Time will be right, eventually.
They'll just keep going with the same lame predictions until they're right. And then they'll ignore the fact that they were wrong about 15 times before their "wisdom" is finally apparent to all
You don’t have to be a Kipchoge hater to make a simple prediction; I predicted he’d win but fade to 2:02:59 and I’ve written thousands of words arguing Kipchoge’s case for the greatest runner of all time. But in contrast to Kipchoge’s tagline, I believe “Every human is limited.”
A little crazy to me how many assume he can blow his WR away, and funny how the upvote/downvote feature on the more tempered predictions reveals the pervasive reaction is “Boooo! Kipchoge good! Hater bad!”
" Also ideal. The projected humidity at 10 am is 89% (98% at 8 am) which actually is ideal as moist air is less dense than ordinary air. The projected dew point during the race is 53-54 (Weather update provided by LetsRun.com weather guru Robert Johnson)."
So you think is easier running in humid air than dry air because you read that humid air is less dense? How about all that moisture? Try tell that to those who suffer from asthma Rojo, especially when is cold... Not to say that when that dew point starts creeping up....
At press conference ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZKIZlu_L5tM) around 24 min in 60:40 is mentioned, Kipchoge doesn't neither deny nor confirm it. He even asks the journalist where he got that information.
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