Agree or disagree: Runner's World: "Many believe the odds are in [Sara Hall's] favor [to break Deena Kastor's AR]."

I'm rooting for her. But the marathon distance is not in her favor to break the record. She does have a chance. When you have a fast timed goal wether it's a world record or personal record. The marathon distance has too many variables that develop before you complete the distance. Any where from nutrition hydration changing weather wind gusts humidity etc. Not to mention the mental lchallenge. How does one feel from start to finish. She only has a chance but no advantage. And I'm hoping she succeeds.

Runner’s World has not had a new article in 15 years, just keep repeating old ones with new names.

They likely rehashed the Deena article from years ago and just did a name change.

I'd give her a 10% chance at best of breaking the record. If it's warm, 0%.

It will be too warm at Chicago. Won't happen there. The many people comment in the article, well...what does many mean? More than 3, 5, 10? Most would bet against her breaking the record. I wish her luck in the future, however, but unless the forecasts are completely off, she will not be that close in Chicago.

HardDoper wrote:

Doping on Ryan's T ???

D

Very unlikely, but that would be cool to see.

Pretty much every article just makes a bold claim so people will discuss it- which will ultimately lead to more people reading the article. Other websites, magazines, forums, etc. will then debate the claims so everyone in the industry gets to benefit from increased content/traffic due to the initial claim.

I think we all know this to be true, yet we take part anyways, probably because it’s fun. (I love to debate, especially stupid stuff) Yet we also continue to take part even when it’s negative-such as ridiculous political stances. And unfortunately, then some people genuinely formulate beliefs based on these initial claims, and others get genuinely upset debating things.

It’s especially funny when people rip Rojo for saying something they think is ‘dumb’. It’s deeply ironic. His entire livelihood is based on generating traffic for this site and encouraging discussion. And he’s very good at it, as most of his threads get people riled up with pages and pages of comments. I also think he does a good job of creating a balance of mostly genuine, good discussion, with just a few bold claims to stir the pot every once in awhile.

I don’t have a problem with any of this, but we should probably explain this phenomenon to students in high school, so that those less aware aren’t formulating their deeply held life-beliefs and political stances based on essentially ‘click-bait’.

I hoped you enjoyed reading my random, off-topic thought of the day. And Go Sara!

It would help if there was a stronger Women's Field, why is the Woman's Field so weak this year? Maybe lots of competition for runners with Many Marathons usually run in Spring going in the Fall.

HardDoper wrote:

Doping on Ryan's T ???

Yeah he's definitely jacked and she is running way beyond her capabilities. Oh but she speaks English so she must be clean. She can't claim it's the Metaspeed Skys because I own a pair and they're mediocre.

I would not say the odds are in her favor.

She's run well, lately. 2 good marathons is not enough to convince me to rely on a faster time.

Last year glory wrote:

It will be too warm at Chicago. Won't happen there. The many people comment in the article, well...what does many mean? More than 3, 5, 10? Most would bet against her breaking the record. I wish her luck in the future, however, but unless the forecasts are completely off, she will not be that close in Chicago.

This is just what I was going to ask. How is the weather predicted. A record marathon needs good conditions. Look at Berlin where it was unseasonably warm and humid and everyone was 5min off their goal pace. A quick google shows me the weather is predicted to be almost identical to Berlin if not a couple degrees warmer. No record weather. And Sara does not like the heat she has said that quite often in interviews & videos.