3lonMu$k wrote:
3 scenarios for discussion:
A) The leak was unintentional and CCP govt officials actually had no idea & got blindsided
B) The leak was unintentional but is revealed to have been covered up by CCP govt officials to protect China’s image
C) The leak was intentional, planned and covered up by CCP govt officials
What should be done in each? Should countries retaliate, and it what way? Trade embargoes, military action, forceful removal of Xi, removal from UN/alliances, just writing off any outstanding debts to China as completed, etc? How is accountability measured in this type of scenario, and would it be worthwhile to pursue?
Discus
I think B is by far the most likely scenario. How China managed to halt this virus but spread it to the rest of the world is quite curious. C seems absurd because they would have to have been smart enough to release the virus somewhere a long way away from the lab to make it look like an animal jump.
But assuming it is B these would be my steps:
Start treating China like we did the USSR in the cold war and go to a containment strategy. Taiwan needs to be the line in the sand China cannot cross.
Immediately start decoupling economically, US investors should not be funding Chinese tech companies and we start importing from other countries in Asia and South/Central America.
Immediately kick all Chinese students out of US colleges and research institutions. We can't let them have the technological innovation that comes with freedom without offering their people freedom.
Tell Europe it's time to grow a pair and present their own deterrence to Russia, we can't continue to pay to protect Europe and stare down China, also get out of the middle east wars.
Hard sanctions on Iran. Iran, Russia, and China are working together now and this is a huge threat to American economic security.
If we push on 2&3 I think eventually China will have to face the contradictions of Authoritarianism just like the USSR did and the current CCP will collapse on itself. If the people of China see the freedoms of Western civilization and the higher quality of life and realize that their government is preventing that the nation will fail. Unfortunately, Americans are becoming less free and unless we reverse that course the strategy will fail.