Region II predictions:
I ran in Reg II for 4 years for a GSAC school, so there's my background. Region II is probably the strongest region in the NAIA when all sports are considered. From women's volleyball, to XC and track and basketball (both mens and womens) to softball-baseball, Region II has a tremendous amount of talent.
this season will be an interesting one--the GSAC championships will be held on a tough, tough course--La Mirada Regional Park (the site of Saturday's Biola Invite). This course will seperate the men from the boys, as it is completely grass with many hills, twists and turns. i'd be surprised if the opening mile is faster than 4:50 (due to the 800m uphill from the 400m mark to the 1200m mark).
As far as the regional meet, this will be an interesting year. for the past few years we have had a clear favorite (Keino), but he is gone, and Notre Dame De Namur is gone too, which will allow another Region II team to make it to NAIA Nationals. (watch in the next few years for other GSAC schools and NAIA schools to move to NCAA Division II--i made this prediction over a year ago, and now it is coming to fruition. keep an eye out on APU, Pt Loma, CUI, Vanguard and possibly Biola to move to NCAA Div II by 2009). CSUSM is in a rebuilding year, and their top notch runners have now moved on. Azusa's coach did not return and they are left to a 2nd year coach without much experience. not to knock him or his coaching abilities, but he will have a tough job bringing the mens and womens teams of Azusa to the podium at NAIA Nationals this year if they don't perform at GSAC and the Region II meet.
Bottom line: Westmont will be 2nd only to CUI at GSAC this season. They were without Aaron Megazzi this past weekend. look at their 1-5 split, without their number 1 runner!
1 46 4959 Caleb Ambrose JR 25:16
2 72 4961 Andrew Dixon FR 26:04
3 73 4960 Robby Cherry SO 26:05
4 78 4967 Luke Oliver SR 26:14
5 81 4965 Nick Martin SO 26:19
it kills me to admit this, because Westmont was a rival for me, but hey, they're legit, and as a team, are stronger in XC than APU. i'm guessing Megazzi could possibly take the GSAC title (considering he has the fastest time on the Biola course as a returner from last year:
1 Brian Baker Biola 25:57.8 1
2 Brian Ball Biola 27:07.1 2
3 Mike Atwood Biola 27:08.8 3
4 Aaron Megazzi Westmont 27:15.4 4
5 Eloy Quintana Fresno Pacific 28:15.6 5
after tomorrow's race things might be different, but the fact remains, the showdown will be westmont and CUI.
read this thread for some insight:
http://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read.php?thread=248317&page=0